Deploy Plastic Alternatives / Bioplastics

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Colorful smoothies in plastic cups with label 100% biodegradable
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Summary

Bioplastics are renewable, plant-based alternatives to conventional plastics that can reduce emissions by replacing fossil-based feedstocks with biogenic carbon feedstocks. These feedstocks are biomass materials that absorb atmospheric CO₂ during growth and serve as the carbon source for plastic production. The chemical and biological properties of bioplastics are well understood, commercially validated, and can reduce emissions when produced sustainably and managed properly at their end-of-life. Benefits include reducing fossil fuel reliance, alleviating plastic pollution, and, in targeted uses, supporting circularity. However, these are counterbalanced by their inconsistent emissions savings, high costs, and scalability constraints. We conclude that deploying bioplastics as plastic alternatives remains a climate solution to “Keep Watching”, but would require changes in feedstock and appropriate end-of-life infrastructure to achieve reliable emissions reductions.

Description for Social and Search
Bioplastics are renewable, plant-based alternatives to conventional plastics that can reduce emissions by replacing fossil-based feedstocks with biogenic carbon feedstocks. These feedstocks are biomass materials that absorb atmospheric CO₂ during growth and serve as the carbon source for plastic production.
Overview

What is our assessment?

Based on our analysis, the widespread use of bioplastics is challenged by their potential ecological risks and currently high costs. While bioplastics offer some environmental benefits in niche applications, their climate impact is inconsistent and hinges on feedstock type, manufacturing practices, and waste management. Therefore, we conclude that Deploy Bioplastics is a solution to “Keep Watching.”

Plausible Could it work? Yes
Ready Is it ready? Yes
Evidence Are there data to evaluate it? Yes
Effective Does it consistently work? No
Impact Is it big enough to matter? No
Risk Is it risky or harmful? ?
Cost Is it cheap? No

What is it?

Bioplastics (also called biopolymers) are plastic alternatives made from renewable biological sources, such as corn, sugarcane, crop residues, or other plants, instead of fossil fuels. Bioplastics are produced by extracting sugars or starches from plants and converting them through chemical or biological processes into chemical building blocks that form the basic structure of plastics. Because plants absorb atmospheric CO₂ through photosynthesis, the carbon stored in bioplastics is considered biogenic, as it is already part of the natural carbon cycle. In contrast, petrochemical plastics are made by extracting and refining oil or natural gas, which releases new (formerly buried) carbon into the atmosphere. Bioplastics cut emissions by replacing fossil carbon feedstocks with biomass-based feedstocks. Some bioplastics are durable, non-biodegradable, chemically identical to traditional plastics (i.e., “drop-in” bioplastics), and recyclable. Others are biodegradable and can be designed to break down in compost. Emissions from bioplastics come from growing and processing biomass (which requires energy and land use), manufacturing the plastics, and managing their end-of-life waste. Bioplastics can achieve climate benefits when the emissions from production and end of life are kept low enough to realize the advantages of biogenic carbon.

Does it work?

The basic idea of bioplastics is scientifically and chemically sound, with their development and commercialization ongoing since the 1990s. Numerous studies support the effectiveness of bioplastics in reducing atmospheric CO₂ emissions from feedstock production and manufacturing stages compared to fossil-based plastics, particularly when made from sustainably sourced biomass under energy-efficient conditions and properly composted or recycled. However, other studies show bioplastics have inconsistent emissions reduction performance. Global adoption also remains limited, representing only about 0.5% of total plastics production (approximately 2–2.5 Mt out of 414 Mt, according to European Bioplastics). 

Why are we excited?

Bioplastics, particularly biologically derived and biodegradable polymers, have functional advantages in reducing fossil fuel dependence and mitigating plastic pollution. By sourcing raw materials from renewable biomass instead of petroleum (e.g., oil, natural gas), bioplastics can lower CO₂ emissions in the production stage, especially when accounting for biogenic carbon uptake during plant cultivation. Some types of bioplastics are interchangeable with traditional plastics and can be produced with existing plastic manufacturing systems, easing the transition. Compostable plastics simplify disposal in applications where contamination with food or organic waste occurs, enabling organic recycling and returning carbon and other nutrients to soil. Biodegradable bioplastics are also advantageous for products that are often discarded and may leak into the environment. Studies show that two widely used commercial bioplastics, polylactic acid (PLA) and polyhydroxybutyrate (PHB), biodegrade 60–80% in composting conditions within 28–30 days, while cellulose-based and starch-based plastics can fully degrade in soil and marine environments in 180 days and 50 days, respectively. These functional benefits, combined with potential additional benefits, such as soil enrichment and waste stream simplification, make bioplastics appealing in specific, targeted use cases. More broadly, they can significantly contribute to emissions reduction efforts in materials production when designed for circularity and supported by infrastructure that facilitates appropriate end-of-life waste treatment. 

Why are we concerned?

Despite their promise, bioplastics have several limitations as a viable climate solution, including relatively low emissions reduction potential and possible risks and adverse impacts from their large-scale deployment. Current production is low. To reach a meaningful 20–30% marketplace share by 2040, bioplastics would need to expand manufacturing by approximately 30% per year, nearly double the current pace. This could put pressure on land and food systems, since current bioplastics rely on food-based crops for industrial-level production. This raises sustainability concerns around food security and could potentially drive unintended land-use changes such as deforestation or cropland conversion. Furthermore, the effectiveness of reducing emissions by replacing conventional plastics with bioplastics is low and inconsistent. Some bioplastics produce more life cycle emissions than conventional plastics. The likely climate impact of replacing 20–30% of traditional plastics with bioplastics is <0.1 Gt CO₂‑eq/yr. End-of-life treatment is also a major challenge. Many bioplastics are incompatible with home composting and current recycling streams, and improperly composted or landfilled biodegradable bioplastics can emit methane. Finally, bioplastics remain 2–3 times more expensive than conventional plastics.

Solution in Action

Barbu, B. (2024). Can biodegradable polymers make microplastics? C&EN Global Enterprise, 102(37), 21–22. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1021/cen-10237-cover4‌ 

Bauer, F., Nielsen, T. D., Nilsson, L. J., Palm, E., Ericsson, K., Fråne, A., & Cullen, J. (2022). Plastics and climate change—Breaking carbon lock-ins through three mitigation pathways. One Earth, 5(4), 361–376.‌ Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2022.03.007 

Benavides, P. T., Lee, U., & Zarè-Mehrjerdi, O. (2020). Life cycle greenhouse gas emissions and energy use of polylactic acid, bio-derived polyethylene, and fossil-derived polyethylene. Journal of Cleaner Production277, Article 124010. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.124010

Bishop, G., Styles, D., & Lens, P. N. L. (2022). Land-use change and valorisation of feedstock side-streams determine the climate mitigation potential of bioplastics. Resources, Conservation and Recycling180, Article 106185. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2022.106185‌

Chen, G., Li, J., Sun, Y., Wang, Z., Leeke, G. A., Moretti, C., Cheng, Z., Wang, Y., Li, N., Mu, L., Li, J., Tao, J., Yan, B., & Hou, L. (2024). Replacing traditional plastics with biodegradable plastics: Impact on carbon emissions. Engineering, 32, 152–162. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eng.2023.10.002 

Cotterill, M. (2020, August 5). Bioplastics: Don’t let the label fool you. Canadian Geographic.
Link to source: https://canadiangeographic.ca/articles/bioplastics-dont-let-the-label-fool-you/ 

Di Bartolo, A., Infurna, G., & Dintcheva, N. T. (2021). A Review of Bioplastics and Their Adoption in the Circular Economy. Polymers13(8), Article 1229. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.3390/polym13081229 

Dokl, M., Copot, A., Krajnc, D., Fan, Y. V., Vujanović, A., Aviso, K. B., Tan, R. R., Kravanja, Z., & Čuček, L. (2024). Global projections of plastic use, end-of-life fate and potential changes in consumption, reduction, recycling and replacement with bioplastics to 2050. Sustainable Production and Consumption, 51, 498–518. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spc.2024.09.025 

Escobar, N., & Britz, W. (2021). Metrics on the sustainability of region-specific bioplastics production, considering global land use change effects. Resources, Conservation and Recycling167, Article 105345. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2020.105345 

‌‌European Bioplastics. (2023). Bioplastics market development update 2023. European Bioplastics e.V. Link to source: https://docs.european-bioplastics.org/publications/market_data/2023/EUBP_Market_Data_Report_2023.pdf 

‌‌‌‌European Bioplastics. (2024). Bioplastics market development update 2024. European Bioplastics e.V. Link to source: https://www.european-bioplastics.org/market/ 

Ferreira-Filipe, D. A., Paço, A., Duarte, A. C., Rocha-Santos, T., & Patrício Silva, A. L. (2021). Are biobased plastics green alternatives?—A critical review. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 18(15), Article 7729. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18157729 

Helm, L. T., Venier-Cambron, C., & Verburg, P. H. (2025). The potential land-use impacts of bio-based plastics and plastic alternatives. Nature Sustainability8, 190–201. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-024-01492-7 

Islam, M., Xayachak, T., Haque, N., Lau, D., Bhuiyan, M., & Pramanik, B. K. (2024). Impact of bioplastics on environment from its production to end-of-life. Process Safety and Environmental Protection, 188, 151–166. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.psep.2024.05.113‌ 

Ita-Nagy, D., Vázquez-Rowe, I., Kahhat, R., Chinga-Carrasco, G., & Quispe, I. (2020). Reviewing environmental life cycle impacts of biobased polymers: current trends and methodological challenges. The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, 25(11), 2169–2189. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11367-020-01829-2‌ 

Karali, N., Khanna, N., & Shah, N. (2024). Climate impact of primary plastic production [Report]. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. Link to source: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6cc1g99q‌ 

Meng, F., Brandão, M., & Cullen, J. M. (2024). Replacing plastics with alternatives is worse for greenhouse gas emissions in most cases. Environmental Science & Technology, 58(6), 2716–2727. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.3c05191‌ 

Patria, R. D., Rehman, S., Yuen, C.-B., Lee, D.-J., Vuppaladadiyam, A. K., & Leu, S. (2024). Energy-environment-economic (3E) hub for sustainable plastic management – Upgraded recycling, chemical valorization, and bioplastics. Applied Energy, 357, Article 122543. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.122543‌ 

Piemonte, V., & Gironi, F. (2011). Land-use change emissions: How green are the bioplastics? Environmental Progress & Sustainable Energy, 30(4), 685–691. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1002/ep.10518 

Plastics Europe. (2024, November 18). Plastics – the fast Facts 2024 • Plastics Europe. Link to source: https://plasticseurope.org/knowledge-hub/plastics-the-fast-facts-2024/ 

Rosenboom, J.-G., Langer, R., & Traverso, G. (2022). Bioplastics for a circular economy. Nature Reviews Materials, 7, 117–137. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41578-021-00407-8 

‌The multifaceted challenges of bioplastics. (2024). Nature Reviews Bioengineering, 2(4), 279–279. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1038/s44222-024-00181-6 

Vanderreydt, I., Rommens, T., Tenhunen, A., Mortensen, L. F., & Tange, I. (2021). Greenhouse gas emissions and natural capital implications of plastics (including biobased plastics). (Eionet Report No. ETC/WMGE 2021/3). European Environment Agency / Eionet.
Link to source: https://www.eionet.europa.eu/etcs/etc-wmge/products/etc-wmge-reports/greenhouse-gas-emissions-and-natural-capital-implications-of-plastics-including-biobased-plastics 

‌Walker, S., & Rothman, R. (2020). Life cycle assessment of bio-based and fossil-based plastic: A review. Journal of Cleaner Production, 261, Article 121158. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.121158 

Zhao, X., Cornish, K., & Vodovotz, Y. (2020). Narrowing the gap for bioplastic use in food packaging: An update. Environmental Science & Technology, 54(8), 4712–4732. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.9b03755 

‌Zhao, X., Wang, Y., Chen, X., Yu, X., Li, W., Zhang, S., Meng, X., Zhao, Z.-M., Dong, T., Anderson, A., Aiyedun, A., Li, Y., Webb, E., Wu, Z., Kunc, V., Ragauskas, A., Ozcan, S., & Zhu, H. (2023). Sustainable bioplastics derived from renewable natural resources for food packaging. Matter, 6(1), 97–127. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.matt.2022.11.006 

Credits

Lead Fellow

  • Nina-Francesca Farac, Ph.D.

Contributors

  • Amanda Smith, Ph.D.
  • Sarah Gleeson, Ph.D.

Internal Reviewer

  • Christina Swanson, Ph.D.
Speed of Action
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Action Word
Deploy
Solution Title
Plastic Alternatives / Bioplastics
Classification
Keep Watching
Updated Date

Deploy Small Modular Nuclear Reactors

Sector
Electricity
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Exterior of a small modular nuclear facility
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Summary

Small modular nuclear reactors (SMRs) are advanced reactors designed to produce low-carbon electricity using smaller units that are factory-fabricated. SMRs aim to overcome the safety, cost, and scalability challenges of traditional large-scale nuclear power. They offer benefits such as passive safety systems, lower capital investment, and the potential to be deployed flexibly in remote or underserved regions. However, commercial deployment is limited, the costs remain uncertain, and long-term nuclear waste and proliferation concerns persist. We “Keep Watching” SMRs as a promising climate solution still in development that has not yet proven its readiness for large-scale implementation.

Description for Social and Search
Small modular nuclear reactors (SMRs) are advanced reactors designed to produce low-carbon electricity using smaller units that are factory-fabricated. SMRs aim to overcome the safety, cost, and scalability challenges of traditional large-scale nuclear power.
Overview

What is our assessment?

Based on our analysis, SMRs are a plausible and potentially impactful climate solution, but they are not yet ready for widespread deployment. The core technology is credible and carries significant potential for reducing GHG emissions. However, readiness, cost certainty, and deployment evidence are still lacking. For now, we will “Keep Watching” SMRs.

Plausible Could it work? Yes
Ready Is it ready? No
Evidence Are there data to evaluate it? No
Effective Does it consistently work? Yes
Impact Is it big enough to matter? Yes
Risk Is it risky or harmful? No
Cost Is it cheap? No

What is it?

Small modular nuclear reactors (SMRs) are advanced reactors that produce low-carbon electricity by harnessing the heat from nuclear fission, an established and well-understood physical process. The innovation of SMRs lies primarily in their design. Typically smaller than traditional reactors, with a capacity of less than 300 megawatts (MW), SMRs are factory-built for enhanced quality control. This design allows them to be delivered to installation sites more quickly and potentially at a lower cost compared to conventional reactors, which typically range in capacity from about 700 MW to over 1,600 MW. While SMRs are generally considered "utility-scale" in their capacity, their smaller size makes them a viable option for smaller-scale applications, such as large micro-grids. These reactors can be assembled in a modular fashion, allowing incremental capacity additions. Additionally, some SMR designs boast enhanced safety features, including passive cooling systems that can function without external power sources, reducing the risks associated with reactor overheating or meltdowns. Currently, several countries are planning the deployment of SMRs, particularly China and the United States. Given their modular nature, several African countries, such as Ghana, are also looking toward SMRs to address their energy access deficits. Based on current plans, the International Energy Agency expects several countries to have multiple SMRs installed and operational by around 2030.

Does it work?

The physics behind SMRs is sound, and their potential as low-carbon energy sources is also scientifically valid, as they do not emit GHG emissions during operation. Several pilot SMR projects have also been launched. SMRs have yet to move beyond the demonstration phase to widespread commercial adoption. No SMR is currently deployed at the scale necessary to reduce global emissions measurably. Furthermore, independent, peer-reviewed empirical data on long-term operational performance, scalability, and cost remain sparse. While several countries, including the United States, Hungary, China, and Ghana, have announced plans or are discussing deploying SMRs within the next decade, those plans are still in the preparatory stages.

Why are we excited?

SMRs have several features that make them appealing as a potential climate solution. If scaled appropriately, they could displace fossil-fuel-based power generation and reduce carbon emissions significantly. Projected deployment scenarios by the Nuclear Energy Agency suggest that by 2050, the global SMR market could reach 375 gigawatts of installed capacity, avoiding up to 15 Gt of cumulative CO₂ emissions. Their smaller size and modular nature reduce financial risk, making them potentially more accessible to developing countries or smaller utilities. They are also flexible in siting and can complement variable renewable energy sources like solar and wind by providing reliable baseload or backup power. Additionally, SMRs could help decarbonize hard-to-electrify sectors like process heat in industry or remote energy systems. These attributes have prompted excitement among proponents who see SMRs as a scalable, flexible, and resilient solution for emissions-free power. 

Why are we concerned?

Despite their promise, SMRs face several challenges that limit their readiness for large-scale deployment. Safety remains a concern – not necessarily because of design flaws, but because any nuclear reactor carries inherent risks. Waste disposal and the potential for proliferation of nuclear materials remain persistent issues. Regulatory hurdles are also significant, as existing frameworks are often geared toward conventional reactors and may slow the licensing of newer designs. The cost of SMRs is another outstanding question. Recent analyses by Wood Mackenzie suggest that SMRs could cost US$6,000 to US$8,000 per kilowatt of capacity, which is well above the costs of utility-scale solar (US$1,448) or onshore wind (US$2,098). Deployment timelines also pose a challenge. Given the urgency of climate action, technologies that cannot be deployed at scale within the next 10–15 years may offer limited near-term benefits. A recent study by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis opines that SMRs are still too costly, too time-consuming to construct, and too risky to significantly impact the transition away from fossil fuels in the next decade. While peer-reviewed academic studies have been conducted, a comprehensive, independent evaluation of large-scale deployment remains absent.

Solution in Action

Asuega, A., Limb, B. J., & Quinn, J. C. (2023). Techno-economic analysis of advanced small modular nuclear reactors. Applied Energy, 334, 120669. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/J.APENERGY.2023.120669

Hussein, E. M. A. (2020). Emerging small modular nuclear power reactors: A critical review. Physics Open, 5, 100038. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/J.PHYSO.2020.100038

IEA. (2025). The Path to a New Era for Nuclear Energy. Link to source: https://www.iea.org/reports/the-path-to-a-new-era-for-nuclear-energy

Midgley, E. (2023). Decarbonizing Industries with the Help of Small and Micro Nuclear Reactors | IAEA. Link to source: https://www.iaea.org/bulletin/decarbonizing-industries-with-the-help-of-small-and-micro-nuclear-reactors

Sam, R., Sainati, T., Hanson, B., & Kay, R. (2023). Licensing small modular reactors: A state-of-the-art review of the challenges and barriers. Progress in Nuclear Energy, 164, 104859. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/J.PNUCENE.2023.104859

Sovacool, B. K., Andersen, R., Sorensen, S., Sorensen, K., Tienda, V., Vainorius, A., Schirach, O. M., & Bjørn-Thygesen, F. (2016). Balancing safety with sustainability: assessing the risk of accidents for modern low-carbon energy systems. Journal of Cleaner Production, 112, 3952–3965. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JCLEPRO.2015.07.059

Van Hee, N., Peremans, H., & Nimmegeers, P. (2024). Economic potential and barriers of small modular reactors in Europe. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 203. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2024.114743

Vanatta, M., Patel, D., Allen, T., Cooper, D., & Craig, M. T. (2023). Technoeconomic analysis of small modular reactors decarbonizing industrial process heat. Joule, 7(4), 713–737. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JOULE.2023.03.009

World Nuclear Association. (2024). Small Nuclear Power Reactors. Link to source: https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/nuclear-fuel-cycle/nuclear-power-reactors/small-nuclear-power-reactors 

Credits

Lead Fellow 

  • Michael Dioha, Ph.D.

Internal Reviewer

  • Christina Swanson, Ph.D.
Speed of Action
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Action Word
Deploy
Solution Title
Small Modular Nuclear Reactors
Classification
Keep Watching
Updated Date

Deploy Nuclear Fusion

Sector
Electricity
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A graphic showing the inside of a nuclear fusion reactor
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Summary

Nuclear fusion combines two elements in a nuclear reaction to form a larger element and release energy that can be used to generate electricity. Nuclear fusion has been researched since the 1950s, but there have been no nuclear fusion plants built to date. Globally, electricity production mainly relies on fossil fuels, with an increasing portion being generated by renewable sources such as wind and solar. However, wind and solar alone are unable to provide baseload electricity (the minimum amount of electric power delivered to an electrical grid) due to their intermittent nature, and energy storage is required for grid reliability. Advantages of nuclear fusion include reducing reliance on fossil fuels for electricity generation, producing emission-free electricity during operation, being inherently safer than nuclear fission, generating minimal nuclear waste, and providing baseload power. Disadvantages include technical challenges, high costs, and uncertainty around regulations. We will “Keep Watching” nuclear fusion, but it is currently unproven and extremely expensive.

Description for Social and Search
Nuclear fusion combines two elements in a nuclear reaction to form a larger element and release energy that can be used to generate electricity. Nuclear fusion has been researched since the 1950s, but there have been no nuclear fusion plants built to date.
Overview

What is our assessment?

Based on our analysis, nuclear fusion is a promising alternative form of electricity generation, but it is still at a theoretical stage and will not be ready for large-scale deployment within the next 10–15 years, when it could have the most impact on meeting global climate targets. We will “Keep Watching” this potential climate solution.

Plausible Could it work? Yes
Ready Is it ready? No
Evidence Are there data to evaluate it? Limited
Effective Does it consistently work? No
Impact Is it big enough to matter? Yes
Risk Is it risky or harmful? No
Cost Is it cheap? No

What is it?

Nuclear fusion is the process by which two individual elements are fused together into a single larger element using high pressure and temperature; this reaction releases large amounts of energy. This is the same reaction that happens in stars such as the sun. The energy from the fusion reaction can then be harnessed to produce electricity without emitting GHGs. Nuclear fusion power plants are best suited for centralized, large-scale generation (500 MW–1.2 GW of electricity output).

Does it work?

Nuclear fusion experiments have been carried out that prove the scientific principle is sound. However, only in recent years have experiments succeeded in producing more energy than was needed to initiate and sustain the fusion reaction. There have been no nuclear fusion power plants built to date, and it is unlikely that nuclear fusion–powered electricity generation will be ready for deployment before 2050.

Why are we excited?

Nuclear fusion energy offers several advantages as a solution to climate change, including high power density, the ability to deliver “firm” power (i.e., power that can be relied upon to meet demand when needed), and no GHG emissions. In addition, the most commonly used fuel for nuclear fusion – hydrogen – is readily accessible, there is no risk of a nuclear meltdown, and the process produces relatively little nuclear waste, meaning the risk of nuclear proliferation is almost nonexistent. Some research suggests that nuclear fusion could provide up to 15% of total electricity production either by replacing existing centralized power plants (e.g., oil and gas, coal, nuclear fission) that have reached end-of-life or to satisfy growing demand for electricity as access and electrification increase.

Why are we concerned?

Nuclear fusion is not considered remotely close to being ready to deploy as a climate solution. It faces many technical challenges, including uncertainties related to fusion reactor design and optimal fuel types. The costs for nuclear fusion–produced electricity are highly uncertain and are expected to grow compared to existing estimates. Current estimates for nuclear fusion energy costs exceed US$150/MWh, nearly double the 2020 price per MWh for other energy sources. There are also large uncertainties about the policy environment for nuclear fusion plants, which could hinder both development and deployment. Currently, projections suggest that nuclear fusion reactors could be introduced between 2050 and 2060. This means that even under optimistic conditions, nuclear fusion is unlikely to make a significant contribution to meeting 2050 emissions reduction targets. 

Solution in Action

Barbarino, M. (2020). A brief history of nuclear fusion. Nature Physics, 16, 890–893. Link to source: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41567-020-0940-7 

Barbarino, M. (2023, August 3). What is nuclear fusion?. IAEA. Link to source: https://www.iaea.org/newscenter/news/what-is-nuclear-fusion 

Foster, J., Lux, H., Knight, S., Wolff, D., & Muldrew, S. I. (2024). Extrapolating costs to commercial fusion power plants. IEEE, 52(9), 3772-3777. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1109/TPS.2024.3362428 

Kembleton, R. (2019). Nuclear fusion: What of the future. Managing Global Warming, 199–220. Link to source: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/B9780128141045000053 

Lerede, D., Nicoli, M., Savoldi, L., & Trotta, A. (2023). Analysis of the possible contribution of different nuclear fusion technologies to the global energy transition. Energy Strategy Reviews, 49. Link to source: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X23000949 

Lindley, B. Roulstone, T., Locatelli, G., & Rooney, M. (2023). Can fusion energy be cost-competitive and commercially viable? An analysis of magnetically confined reactors. Energy Policy, 177. Link to source: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0301421523000964 

Lopes Cardozo, N. J., Lange, A. G. G., & Kramer, G. J. (2016). Fusion: Expensive and taking forever?. Journal of Fusion Energy, 35, 94-101. Link to source: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10894-015-0012-7 

Meschini, S., Laviano, F., Ledda, F., Pettinari, D., Testoni, R., Torsello, D., & Panella, B. (2023). Frontiers, 11. Link to source: https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/energy-research/articles/10.3389/fenrg.2023.1157394/full 

MIT Energy Initiative. (2024). The role of fusion energy in a decarbonized electricity system. Massachusetts Institute of Technology Link to source: https://energy.mit.edu/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/MITEI_FusionReport_091124_final_COMPLETE-REPORT_fordistribution.pdf 

Tokimatsu, K., Fujino, J., Konishi, S., Ogawa, Y., & Yamaji, K. (2003). Role of nuclear fusion in future energy systems and the environment under future uncertainties. Energy Policy, 31(8), 775–797. Link to source: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0301421502001271 

Credits

Lead Fellow

  • Jason Lam

Contributor

  • James Gerber, Ph.D.

Internal Reviewer

  • Christina Swanson, Ph.D.
Speed of Action
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Action Word
Deploy
Solution Title
Nuclear Fusion
Classification
Keep Watching
Updated Date

Deploy Agrivoltaics

Sector
Electricity
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Peatland
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Description for Social and Search
The Deploy Agrivoltaics solution is coming soon.
Solution in Action
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Deploy
Solution Title
Agrivoltaics
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Improve Ruminant Breeding

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Rancher holding a tablet device walks among grazing cattle
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Summary

Ruminant livestock, such as cattle, goats, and sheep, can be selectively bred for reduced enteric methane production. Some experimental breeding programs have reduced methane production by 4-45% over multiple generations of animals. An advantage of improved ruminant breeding is that it could reduce methane emissions from the majority of ruminants that are managed on pasture or rangelands. However, intentionally breeding ruminants for reduced methane production is in its early stages, and deploying this solution across multiple species and breeds will take decades. Furthermore, reducing enteric methane emissions per kilogram of milk or meat may not necessarily reduce total emissions if ruminant numbers increase, or if it diverts efforts to reduce consumption and waste of ruminant meat and milk products in wealthy countries. As a climate solution, improved ruminant breeding is not yet ready for large-scale deployment, and it will not yield quick results, but it is probably a wise mid- to long-term climate investment that we will “Keep Watching.”

Description for Social and Search
Ruminant livestock, such as cattle, goats, and sheep, can be selectively bred for reduced enteric methane production. Some experimental breeding programs have reduced methane production by 4-45% over multiple generations of animals.
Overview

What is our assessment?

Based on our analysis, improved ruminant breeding is one of the few promising solutions for reducing enteric methane production from the many millions of ruminants, including those managed on pasture and rangeland. However, it is not a climate solution that will yield quick results, nor is it ready for large-scale deployment at this time. Instead, it should be considered a wise mid- to long-term climate investment that we will “Keep Watching.”

Plausible Could it work? Yes
Ready Is it ready? No
Evidence Are there data to evaluate it? Limited
Effective Does it consistently work? No
Impact Is it big enough to matter? Yes
Risk Is it risky or harmful? No
Cost Is it cheap? No

What is it?

Selective breeding can produce ruminant livestock, such as cattle, goats, and sheep, that produce less enteric methane during digestion. Enteric methane represents 21% of humanity’s methane emissions, equivalent to 2.9 Gt CO₂‑eq/yr. Enteric methane is produced by microbes in the digestive system – primarily in the rumen, which is the first stomach compartment – and not by ruminants themselves, but its production is a symptom of inefficient digestion by the animal. Therefore, breeding for more efficient use of food by ruminants can reduce enteric methane emissions, while also potentially increasing meat and milk production. 

Does it work? 

Selective breeding of ruminants for reduced enteric methane production has been shown to be effective. One 10-year pilot breeding program resulted in a 12% methane reduction in animals born in the last generation. Other studies have reported emissions reductions ranging from 4 to 45 percent. The effect can be cumulative, with greater reductions in enteric methane production with every selected generation of ruminants. 

Why are we excited?

Despite their disproportionate climate impact, ruminant meat and dairy products are in high demand. Any strategy that can reduce methane emissions per kilogram of meat or milk could, if broadly adopted, yield globally meaningful reductions in methane emissions (>0.1 Gt CO₂‑eq per year). A major advantage of this selective breeding approach is that it is suitable for both confined and grazing ruminants. The vast majority of ruminant animals spend all or part of their lives on pasture or rangeland. In contrast, feed additives, which can also reduce enteric methane production, are only suitable for confined animals. In addition, there is some evidence that this solution could increase the meat and milk productivity of ruminants by capturing energy from feed and forages that would otherwise have been lost as enteric methane.

Why are we concerned?

Breeding ruminants to reduce enteric methane production is not a climate solution that will show quick results. It will require prolonged testing using expensive measurement equipment on thousands of animals and selective breeding for each breed of each ruminant livestock species over many generations. Some researchers say that decade-long breeding programs will be required. Other than a few research projects, however, the current adoption of selective breeding for methane reduction is very low. Furthermore, selective breeding focused only on methane reduction could result in the loss of other desirable traits, such as productivity or adaptation to local conditions and farming systems. It is also possible that reducing enteric methane emissions per kilogram of milk or meat may not necessarily reduce total emissions if, for example, farmers or ranchers increase their herd sizes. Finally, there is the concern that improved ruminant breeding could be used as a smokescreen to divert attention from the importance of reducing consumption of ruminant meat and milk products in the diets of wealthy countries and reducing food waste of ruminant products.

Solution in Action

Arndt, C., Hristov, A. N., Price, W. J., McClelland, S. C., Pelaez, A. M., Cueva, S. F., ... & Yu, Z. (2022). Full adoption of the most effective strategies to mitigate methane emissions by ruminants can help meet the 1.5 C target by 2030 but not 2050. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences119(20), e2111294119.

Beauchemin, K. A., Ungerfeld, E. M., Abdalla, A. L., Alvarez, C., Arndt, C., Becquet, P., ... & Kebreab, E. (2022). Invited review: Current enteric methane mitigation options. Journal of Dairy Science, 105(12), 9297-9326.

Black, J. L., Davison, T. M., & Box, I. (2021). Methane emissions from ruminants in Australia: Mitigation potential and applicability of mitigation strategies. Animals11(4), 951.

de Souza Congio, G. F., Bannink, A., Mogollón, O. L. M., Jaurena, G., Gonda, H., Gere, J. I., ... & Hristov, A. N. (2021). Enteric methane mitigation strategies for ruminant livestock systems in the Latin America and Caribbean region: A meta-analysis. Journal of Cleaner Production312, 127693.

FAO (2023) Pathways towards lower emissions: A global assessment of the greenhouse gas emissions and mitigation options from livestock agrifood systems. FAO, Rome, 2023.

Kelliher, M., Bogueva, D., & Marinova, D. (2024). Meta-Analysis and Ranking of the Most Effective Methane Reduction Strategies for Australia’s Beef and Dairy Sector. Climate12(4), 50.

Króliczewska, B., Pecka-Kiełb, E., & Bujok, J. (2023). Strategies used to reduce methane emissions from ruminants: Controversies and issues. Agriculture13(3), 602.

Lassen, J., & Difford, G. F. (2020). Review: Genetic and genomic selection as a methane mitigation strategy in dairy cattle. Animal 14: s473–s483.

Manzanilla-Pech, C. I. V., Stephansen, R. B., Difford, G. F., Løvendahl, P., & Lassen, J. (2022). Selecting for feed efficient cows will help to reduce methane gas emissions. Frontiers in Genetics13, 885932.

Nabuurs, G-J., R. Mrabet, A. Abu Hatab, M. Bustamante, H. Clark, P. Havlík, J. House, C. Mbow, K.N. Ninan, A. Popp, S. Roe, B. Sohngen, S. Towprayoon, 2022: Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Uses (AFOLU). In IPCC, 2022: Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, R. Slade, A. Al Khourdajie, R. van Diemen, D. McCollum, M. Pathak, S. Some, P. Vyas, R. Fradera, M. Belkacemi, A. Hasija, G. Lisboa, S. Luz, J. Malley, (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA. doi: 10.1017/9781009157926.009

Roques, S., Martinez-Fernandez, G., Ramayo-Caldas, Y., Popova, M., Denman, S., Meale, S. J., & Morgavi, D. P. (2024). Recent advances in enteric methane mitigation and the long road to sustainable ruminant production. Annual Review of Animal Biosciences12(1), 321-343.

Van Eenennaam, A. L. (2024). Addressing the 2050 demand for terrestrial animal source food. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences121(50), e2319001121.

Credits

Lead Fellow

  • Eric Toensmeier

Internal Reviewer

  • Christina Swanson, Ph.D.
Speed of Action
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Caveats
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Additional Benefits
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Risks
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Consensus
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Trade-offs
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Action Word
Improve
Solution Title
Ruminant Breeding
Classification
Keep Watching
Updated Date

Use Feed Additives

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Cow at feeding station
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Summary

Feed additives can reduce enteric methane production in ruminant livestock, such as cattle, goats, and sheep. Most feed additive compounds are still being researched to determine their efficacy and safety; however, at least one product, 3-NOP (3-nitrooxypropanol), has been shown to be effective, has recently been approved for use in many countries, and has experienced some early adoption. However, because of cost and the need to be administered daily, the use of feed additives is currently limited to confined ruminants in high-income countries and is not feasible for the majority of global ruminant livestock. Based on these limitations and current levels of adoption, we will “Keep Watching” this potential solution.

Description for Social and Search
Feed additives can reduce enteric methane production in ruminant livestock, such as cattle, goats, and sheep. Most feed additive compounds are still being researched to determine their efficacy and safety.
Overview

What is our assessment?

Based on our analysis, feed additives are a promising technology that could yield globally meaningful reductions in methane emissions. A few, including 3-NOP, are just on the threshold of commercial adoption and may be widely used by confined ruminant producers in the coming years. The current use of feed additives is low, and the effectiveness of most feed additive compounds is not well-documented. Consequently, wide-scale adoption is largely confined to confined livestock in high-income countries. Based on our assessment, we will “Keep Watching” this potential solution.

Plausible Could it work? Yes
Ready Is it ready? No
Evidence Are there data to evaluate it? Yes
Effective Does it consistently work? Yes
Impact Is it big enough to matter? Yes
Risk Is it risky or harmful? No
Cost Is it cheap? Yes

What is it?

Feed additives are a diverse group of natural and synthetic compounds that, when fed daily, can reduce enteric methane production in ruminant livestock, including cattle, sheep, and goats. Enteric methane from livestock is the source of 21% of humanity’s methane emissions, or 2.9 Gt CO₂‑eq/yr. Feed additives reduce enteric methane production by suppressing the activity of microbes in the digestive system. 3-NOP (3-nitrooxypropanol) is a synthetic that inhibits an enzyme involved in enteric methane production.

Does it work?

More than 170 different feed additives have been developed and tested so far, but only a few of them have been studied enough to offer predictable outcomes and proper doses. Methane reductions from these well-studied additives typically range from 10-30%. The feed additive 3-NOP, the first compound approved for commercial use, reduces enteric methane by an average of 32.5%. A second feed additive derived from active compounds found in Asparagopsis seaweed has shown promising results in some studies and has recently received regulatory approval in two countries. In addition, because different feed additives use different mechanisms to suppress enteric methane production, it’s possible that multiple additives can be used together to achieve greater methane reductions. The great majority of other additives are not yet ready for widespread adoption due to a lack of understanding of effectiveness, side effects on cattle and humans who consume milk from treated cattle, and other concerns.

Why are we excited?

Ruminants are a major source of methane emissions, yet ruminant meat and dairy products are in high demand. Therefore, any strategy that can reduce methane emissions per kilogram of meat or milk is potentially very valuable and, if broadly adopted, could yield globally meaningful reductions in methane emissions (>0.1 Gt CO₂‑eq per year). The feed additive 3-NOP, first approved for commercial use in two countries in 2021, is now legal in 55 countries. Research on other feed additives is active and generally well-supported with funding from philanthropic and investment sources. Although current use of feed additives is very low, successful research and pilot studies, increasing regulatory approvals, and strong positive interest from the livestock industry suggest that wider-scale adoption of this emissions reduction technology could occur quickly. In addition to potential emissions reduction benefits, some additives offer other benefits such as increased productivity and parasite control.

Why are we concerned?

Because they must be fed daily as a supplement to a concentrated feed, use of feed additives is limited to ruminants managed under confined conditions. Most of the billions of ruminant animals today are raised or managed in extensive grazing or pastoralist systems, often in small herds in remote areas. This makes use of feed additives infeasible, although some research is underway to develop methane-reducing compounds that could be added to water troughs instead of to feed. Feed additives are also costly. Though they may be cost-effective in terms of dollars per ton of CO₂‑eq reduced, the cost of additives themselves would likely be prohibitive for smallholders and pastoralists in low-income countries. These limitations mean that feed additives, as currently under development, are only suitable for a subset of total ruminant livestock – those that are raised in confinement systems in wealthy countries. The great majority of feed additives are not yet ready for widespread adoption due to a lack of understanding of effectiveness, side effects on cattle and humans who consume milk from treated cattle, and other concerns. There are also other challenges, including regulatory issues, public acceptance, and effects on livestock and human health. There is also concern that feed additives could be used to divert attention from the importance of reducing ruminant meat and milk products in the diets of wealthy countries and reducing food waste of ruminant products.

Solution in Action

Almeida, A. K., Hegarty, R. S., & Cowie, A. (2021). Meta-analysis quantifying the potential of dietary additives and rumen modifiers for methane mitigation in ruminant production systems. Animal Nutrition, 7(4), 1219-1230. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aninu.2021.09.005

Batley, R. J., Chaves, A. V., Johnson, J. B., Naiker, M., Quigley, S. P., Trotter, M. G., & Costa, D. F. (2024). Rapid screening of methane-reducing compounds for deployment in livestock drinking water using in vitro and FTIR-ATR analyses. Methane, 3(4), 533-560. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.3390/methane3040030 

Canadell, J.G., P.M.S. Monteiro, M.H. Costa, L. Cotrim da Cunha, P.M. Cox, A.V. Eliseev, S. Henson, M. Ishii, S. Jaccard, C. Koven, A. Lohila, P.K. Patra, S. Piao, J. Rogelj, S. Syampungani, S. Zaehle, and K. Zickfeld, 2021: Global Carbon and other Biogeochemical Cycles and Feedbacks. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 673–816, doi: 10.1017/9781009157896.007

Foley, J. (2021) To stop climate change, time is as important as tech. February 20, 2021, Medium. Link to source: https://globalecoguy.org/to-stop-climate-change-time-is-as-important-as-tech-1be4beb7094a 

Hanson, M. (2024) What can we really expect from Elanco’s new Bovaer®?. Dairy Herd Management, June 24, 2024. Link to source: https://www.dairyherd.com/news/education/what-can-we-really-expect-elancos-new-bovaerr 

Herrmann, M. (2023) The rise of the ‘climate friendly’ cow. April 26, 2023, DeSmog. Link to source: https://www.desmog.com/2023/04/26/rise-of-the-climate-friendly-cow/ 

Hodge, I., Quille, P., & O’Connell, S. (2024). A review of potential feed additives intended for carbon footprint reduction through methane abatement in dairy cattle. Animals, 14(4), 568. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.3390/ani14040568

Krogsad, K. (2024) Dairy cow enteric carbon mitigation calculator. Link to source: https://view.officeapps.live.com/op/view.aspx?src=https%3A%2F%2Fdairy.osu.edu%2Fsites%2Fdairy%2Ffiles%2Fimce%2FVideos_and_Software%2FDairy%2520Carbon%2520Return%2520Calculator%25202.0.xlsx&wdOrigin=BROWSELINK 

Morse, C. (2024a) Rumin8 achieves first regulatory approval in New Zealand. July 22, 2024 Rumin8.com. Link to source: https://rumin8.com/rumin8-achieves-first-regulatory-approval-in-new-zealand/ 

Morse, C. (2024b) Rumin8 achieves first regulatory approval in Brazil. October 8, 2024 Rumin8.com
Link to source: https://rumin8.com/rumin8-achieves-first-regulatory-approval-in-brazil/  

Nabuurs, G-J., R. Mrabet, A. Abu Hatab, M. Bustamante, H. Clark, P. Havlík, J. House, C. Mbow, K.N. Ninan, A. Popp, S. Roe, B. Sohngen, S. Towprayoon, 2022: Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Uses (AFOLU). In IPCC, 2022: Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, R. Slade, A. Al Khourdajie, R. van Diemen, D. McCollum, M. Pathak, S. Some, P. Vyas, R. Fradera, M. Belkacemi, A. Hasija, G. Lisboa, S. Luz, J. Malley, (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA. doi: 10.1017/9781009157926.009

Paddision, L. (2023) Bill Gates backs start-up tackling cow burps and farts. CNN.com, January 24, 2023. Link to source: https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/24/world/cows-methane-emissions-seaweed-bill-gates-climate-intl/index.html 

Roques, S., Martinez-Fernandez, G., Ramayo-Caldas, Y., Popova, M., Denman, S., Meale, S. J., & Morgavi, D. P. (2024). Recent advances in enteric methane mitigation and the long road to sustainable ruminant production. Annual Review of Animal Biosciences, 12(1), 321-343. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-animal-021022-024931

Credits

Lead Fellow 

  • Eric Toensmeier

Internal Reviewer

  • Christina Swanson, Ph.D.
Speed of Action
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Caveats
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Additional Benefits
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Risks
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Consensus
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Trade-offs
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Action Word
Use
Solution Title
Feed Additives
Classification
Keep Watching
Updated Date

Deploy Micro Wind Turbines

Sector
Electricity
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Summary

Micro wind turbines harness natural wind to generate electricity. They can operate independently or be connected to a centralized electricity grid, and are useful for small-scale commercial, agricultural, and residential applications. Advantages include reducing reliance on fossil fuels for electricity generation, potential expansion of electrification to rural areas, and improvement in energy equity and independence worldwide. Disadvantages include unpredictable and unreliable electricity generation (especially in urban locations), high cost, and noise pollution. Based on our assessment, we will “Keep Watching” this potential solution.

Description for Social and Search
Micro wind turbines harness natural wind to generate electricity. They can operate independently or be connected to a centralized electricity grid, and are useful for small-scale commercial, agricultural, and residential applications.
Overview

What is our assessment? 

Based on our analysis, micro wind turbines (MWTs) are a promising technology for reducing emissions, but given the limited potential for global adoption and variable financial viability, they do not meet our threshold for global climate solutions (<0.1 Gt CO₂‑eq/yr ). Despite the low climate impact and high costs, Deploy Micro Wind Turbines is an important solution for achieving energy equity. Based on our assessment, we will “Keep Watching” this potential solution.

Plausible Could it work? Yes
Ready Is it ready? Yes
Evidence Are there data to evaluate it? Yes
Effective Does it consistently work? Yes
Impact Is it big enough to matter? No
Risk Is it risky or harmful? No
Cost Is it cheap? No

What is it? 

MWTs are small-scale turbines that rely on natural wind to generate electricity, charge batteries, or power equipment. Specific definitions for MWTs vary from country to country. Our analysis assessed energy production and GHG emissions reduction potential for wind turbines rated to generate a maximum of 100 kW of electrical power. MWTs are actively used for a variety of applications, including telecommunications, lighting, and agriculture. The total installed capacity for MWTs globally as of 2023 is nearly 1.8 GW or 0.002% of utility-scale onshore wind capacity. MWTs are most commonly used in rural settings.

Does it work? 

When connected to a regional or national electricity grid, MWTs can reduce baseline electricity grid emissions by reducing reliance on fossil fuel energy sources. Off-grid MWTs, which accounted for more than 90% of commercial sales in 2019, help electrify industrial and agricultural processes that otherwise may have been powered by fossil fuels, such as diesel or natural gas. Energy production from MWTs is highly dependent on the availability of consistent wind speeds, with the majority of turbines requiring an average wind speed of around 5 m/s to generate electricity. As long as sufficient wind resources are available, MWTs are effective at producing electricity to meet local energy demand and reduce reliance on fossil fuels.

Why are we excited? 

MWTs reduce reliance on fossil fuels for electricity generation, whether they are connected to an electric grid or isolated for local energy use. For grid-connected systems, more available renewable energy sources reduce the need for fossil fuel–based energy generation to meet demand. MWTs isolated from the electricity grid still reduce the local carbon footprint of a household, farm, or commercial building. Globally, the average household consumes approximately 17,000 kWh of electricity annually. Depending on the size of the turbine, local wind energy can produce 1,000–20,000 kWh/yr. Fluctuations in wind speed throughout the day and year can lead to unreliable power output, but this risk can be reduced by integrating batteries or hybrid electricity generation systems, such as combining wind and solar photovoltaics (PV). In addition to emissions reduction, MWTs are crucial tools for expanding electricity access worldwide. Since MWTs can operate independently of an electric grid, they can electrify rural areas where transmission lines are nonexistent or challenging to install. For example, many populations in Africa live in remote areas that could be well-served by installing MWTs to power telecommunications and other local electrification needs. Increasing interest in smart energy systems and Internet of Things technologies presents promising future applications for MWTs.

Why are we concerned? 

While MWTs show potential for expanding electrification, they have a number of limitations compared to other small-scale renewable energy technologies, like solar photovoltaics. First, real-world performance due to wind speed variability and turbulence at installation sites can be unpredictable and is often substantially lower than manufacturers’ power ratings. Second, life-cycle emissions from manufacturing and installation can be more than five times higher for small-scale wind than for large, multi-MW turbines. Energy payback times – the time period for the MWT to generate enough clean energy to offset the energy used during manufacturing and installation – can be long, sometimes exceeding the 20– to 25-year lifetime of the turbine. Third, MWTs are expensive, with up-front costs ranging from approximately US$3,000/kW to more than US$10,000/kW. Even after including financial incentives to partially offset high upfront costs, the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) for residential MWTs in the United States was estimated at US$0.28/kWh. Not only was this higher than average U.S. residential electricity rates (US$0.1–0.24/kWh), but it was also more than double the LCOE for residential solar PV (US$0.12/kWh). Finally, noise pollution and vibration are environmental concerns for the wide-scale adoption of MWTs in urban areas. In addition, MWT performance can be poor in urban and suburban areas because buildings and other obstacles disrupt airflow. There is a general consensus in the scientific community and commercial market that MWTs are worthwhile electricity sources for many agricultural and industrial applications where cost is less prohibitive, but they remain a niche technology due to uncertain global economic viability and lack of reliable power generation in suburban and urban areas.

Solution in Action

Bianchini, A., Bangga, G., Baring-Gould, I., Croce, A., Cruz, J. I., Damiani, R., Erfort, G., Simao Ferreira, C., Infield, D., Nayeri, C. N., Pechlivanoglou, G., Runacres, M., Schepers, G., Summerville, B., Wood, D., & Orrell, A. (2022). Current status and grand challenges for small wind turbine technology. Wind Energy Science, 7(5), 2003–2037. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-7-2003-2022

Global Wind Energy Council. (2024). Global Wind Report 2024. Link to source: https://www.gwec.net/reports/globalwindreport

Ismail, K. A. R., Lino, F. A. M., Baracat, P. A. A., De Almeida, O., Teggar, M., & Laouer, A. (2025). Wind Turbines for Decarbonization and Energy Transition of Buildings and Urban Areas: A Review. Advances in Environmental and Engineering Research, 06(01), 1–59. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.21926/aeer.2501013

Jurasz, J., Bochenek, B., Wieczorek, J., Jaczewski, A., Kies, A., & Figurski, M. (2025). Energy potential and economic viability of small-scale wind turbines. Energy, 322, 135608. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2025.135608

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory. (2024). Distributed wind market report: 2024 edition (PNNL-36057). Wind Energy Technologies Office, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy of the U.S. Department of Energy. Link to source: https://www.pnnl.gov/distributed-wind/market-report 

Pitsilka E. & Kasiteropoulou D., (2024). Wind turbines farms applications. A mini review. International Journal of Research in Engineering and Science (IJRES), 12(2), 36-41. Link to source: https://www.ijres.org/papers/Volume-12/Issue-2/12023641.pdf 

Rosato, A., Perrotta, A., & Maffei, L. (2024). Commercial small-scale horizontal and vertical wind turbines: A comprehensive review of geometry, materials, costs and performance. Energies, 17(13), 3125. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.3390/en17133125

Small-Scale Wind Turbines. (2017). In P. A. B. James & A. S. Bahaj, Wind Energy Engineering (pp. 389–418). Elsevier. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-12-809451-8.00019-9

Taylor, J., Eastwick, C., Lawrence, C., & Wilson, R. (2013). Noise levels and noise perception from small and micro wind turbines. Renewable Energy, 55, 120–127. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2012.11.031

Tummala, A., Velamati, R. K., Sinha, D. K., Indraja, V., & Krishna, V. H. (2016). A review on small scale wind turbines. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 56, 1351–1371. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2015.12.027

Wang, H., Xiong, B., Zhang, Z., Zhang, H., & Azam, A. (2023). Small wind turbines and their potential for internet of things applications. iScience, 26(9), 107674. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2023.107674

World Wind Energy Association. (2025). WWEA Annual Report 2024. World Wind Wind Energy Association. Link to source: https://wwindea.org/AnnualReport2024 

Zajicek, L., Drapalik, M., Kral, I., & Liebert, W. (2023). Energy efficiency and environmental impacts of horizontal small wind turbines in Austria. Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments, 59, 103411. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seta.2023.103411 

Credits

Lead Fellow

  • Megan Matthews, Ph.D.

Internal Reviewer

  • Christina Swanson, Ph.D.
Speed of Action
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Caveats
left_text_column_width
Additional Benefits
left_text_column_width
Risks
left_text_column_width
Consensus
left_text_column_width
Trade-offs
left_text_column_width
Action Word
Deploy
Solution Title
Micro Wind Turbines
Classification
Keep Watching
Updated Date

Boost Appliance & Equipment Efficiency

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Washing machines on conveyer belts in a factory
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Summary

Boosting the efficiency of appliances and equipment cuts GHG emissions by reducing the amount of electricity used to operate these devices. Efficiency improvements also lead to reduced peak demand, less strain on the electric grid, and potential utility savings for homeowners due to reduced electricity use. Despite this potential, the increase in the total number of households and average ownership of appliances, especially in low- and middle-income countries, has offset the impact of efficiency gains and resulted in increased electricity consumption from devices globally. We conclude that Boost Appliance & Equipment Efficiency is “Worthwhile” because it functionally reduces the energy consumed by these devices, but significant leaps in efficiency and shifts in user behavior are needed to realize its full potential as a climate solution.

Description for Social and Search
Boosting the efficiency of appliances and equipment cuts GHG emissions by reducing the amount of electricity used to operate these devices.
Overview

What is our assessment?

Based on our analysis, boosting appliance and equipment efficiency is a promising strategy for reducing GHG emissions, but significant leaps in efficiency and shifts in user behavior are needed to counteract the rebound effect and realize its impact. This potential climate solution is “Worthwhile.”

Plausible Could it work? Yes
Ready Is it ready? Yes
Evidence Are there data to evaluate it? Yes
Effective Does it consistently work? Yes
Impact Is it big enough to matter? No
Risk Is it risky or harmful? No
Cost Is it cheap? Yes

What is it?

Appliance and equipment efficiency typically refers to larger devices in residential buildings that run on electricity, such as refrigerators, freezers, washing machines, dishwashers, dryers, and televisions. Energy-efficient appliances or equipment consume less electricity when operated than do inefficient devices. Therefore, boosting appliance efficiency reduces the CO₂, methane, and nitrous oxide emissions from electricity generation. As of 2022, the energy consumed by household appliances globally was more than twice the total energy used to cool both residential and nonresidential buildings, and about half the energy used for heating. To drive higher efficiency for these devices, various countries have established regional energy efficiency standards, rating systems, and labeling programs. Currently, homeowners can readily access a variety of options on the appliance market, and less efficient devices can easily be replaced. However, income levels, especially in low- and middle-income countries, may affect people’s actual ability to purchase certain appliances, although these devices are increasingly becoming cheaper.

Does it work?

Improving the efficiency of appliances and equipment functionally reduces the energy required to run these devices. Various field studies have demonstrated the effect of efficiency gains on lowering electricity consumption. However, the rise in appliance ownership per household and the growing total number of households have offset the collective climate impact expected from efficiency improvements. Globally, the number of households grew from about 1.5 billion in 2000 to 2.2 billion in 2021. Considering the concurrent increase in the global average units owned per household, the number of appliances in use has essentially doubled over the same period. For example, we estimate that over two decades, the number of televisions owned grew from about 1.4 to 2.8 billion units, refrigerators grew from 0.9 to 1.7 billion units, and washing machines grew from about 0.6 to 1.1 billion units. This growth resulted in rising electricity consumption by appliances annually, from 2,880 TWh in 2000 to 5,734 TWh in 2022, which translates to a 99% global increase, largely driven by the Asia-Pacific region.

Why are we excited?

Boosting appliance and equipment efficiency allows homeowners to realize operational cost savings as a result of lower electricity consumption and utility bills. Compared with less efficient devices, using appliances with higher efficiency ratings functionally reduces peak electricity demand, alleviating strain on the electric grid. The advent of smart devices and the Internet of Things (IoT) also helps to automate the operation of these appliances, optimizing their runtime while minimizing the energy consumed. Initial purchasing costs are also declining, making efficient appliances more accessible and affordable. 

Access to high-efficiency appliances also yields additional benefits. For example, access to energy-efficient refrigerators and freezers means that food waste can be minimized with less energy, leading to better food security. Similarly, multimedia equipment, such as television sets, offers access to critical information. Further cuts in GHG emissions are also possible as the electric grid transitions to renewable energy sources.

Why are we concerned?

Despite the potential benefits, the efficiency improvements in household appliances and equipment have not effectively translated into a positive climate impact. This is largely due to the significant rebound effect, or the increase in appliances owned by households as these devices become cheaper and more efficient. Considering the role of appliances in providing a greater quality of life, limiting the increase in appliance purchases is dismissible. The markets for appliances and equipment in many countries also still consist of pre-owned devices, which are less efficient. Some countries, such as Ghana, have established legislation to prevent the importation of pre-owned devices. This approach ensures that the appliances bought by homeowners will run on the newest, most efficient technologies. Recent findings from regions with stringent energy rating systems also suggest that regulations and programs can lead to a 50% cut in the electricity consumed by appliances. Global initiatives, such as the United for Efficiency (U4E) partnership, which seeks to shift appliance markets in low- and middle-income countries into high-efficiency devices, are increasingly needed for the potential energy savings to be realized as a climate solution.

Solution in Action

CLASP. (2023). Net zero heroes: Scaling efficient appliances for climate change mitigation, adaptation & resilience. CLASP. Link to source: https://www.clasp.ngo/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/CLASP-COP28-FullReport-V8-012424.pdf

Darshan, A., Girdhar, N., Bhojwani, R., Rastogi, K., Angalaeswari, S., Natrayan, L., & Paramasivam, P. (2022). Energy audit of a residential building to reduce energy cost and carbon footprint for sustainable development with renewable energy sources. Advances in Civil Engineering, 2022(1), 4400874. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/4400874

de Ayala, A., Foudi, S., Solà, M. d. M., López-Bernabé, E., & Galarraga, I. (2020). Consumers’ preferences regarding energy efficiency: A qualitative analysis based on the household and services sectors in Spain. Energy Efficiency, 14(1), 3. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12053-020-09921-0

de Ayala, A., & Solà, M. d. M. (2022). Assessing the EU energy efficiency label for appliances: Issues, potential improvements and challenges. Energies, 15(12), 4272. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.3390/en15124272

IEA. (2022, 22 September 2022). Worldwide average household ownership of appliances and number of households in the net zero scenario, 2000–2030. Retrieved April 20, 2025, from Link to source: https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/worldwide-average-household-ownership-of-appliances-and-number-of-households-in-the-net-zero-scenario-2000-2030

IEA. (2023). Space cooling: Net zero emissions guide. IEA. Link to source: https://www.iea.org/reports/space-cooling-2

IEA/4E TCP. (2021). Achievements of energy efficiency appliance and equipment standards and labeling programmes. IEA. Link to source: https://www.iea.org/reports/achievements-of-energy-efficiency-appliance-and-equipment-standards-and-labelling-programmes

Lane, K., & Camarasa, C. (2023, 11 July 2023). Appliances and equipment. IEA. Retrieved May 13, 2025, from Link to source: https://www.iea.org/energy-system/buildings/appliances-and-equipment

Stasiuk, K., & Maison, D. (2022). The influence of new and old energy labels on consumer judgements and decisions about household appliances. Energies, 15(4), 1260. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.3390/en15041260

United for Efficiency (U4E). (2025). About the partnership. United Nations Environment Program (UNEP). Retrieved May 15, 2025, from Link to source: https://united4efficiency.org/about-the-partnership/ 

Credits

Lead Fellow

  • Henry Igugu, Ph.D.

Contributors

  • Zoltan Nagy, Ph.D.
  • Amanda D. Smith, Ph.D.

Internal Reviewer

  • Christina Swanson, Ph.D.
Speed of Action
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Caveats
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Additional Benefits
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Risks
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Consensus
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Trade-offs
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Action Word
Boost
Solution Title
Appliance & Equipment Efficiency
Classification
Worthwhile
Updated Date

Use Low-Flow Fixtures

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Water streaming from shower head
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Summary

Low-flow fixtures reduce GHG emissions by reducing the volume of hot water used and therefore reducing the emissions from the energy used to heat that water. Reduced water usage also leads to fewer emissions from treating and pumping water for domestic use. Low-flow fixtures are low-cost and simple to install. They generate utility bill savings for households and support sustainable water resource management. Modern quality low-flow fixtures have resolved many of the performance issues of earlier versions. Even with significant adoption, however, the total emissions reduction potential for low-flow fixtures is relatively small. We conclude that, despite its modest emissions impact, Use Low Flow Fixtures is “Worthwhile” due to its relative ease, low cost, and additional benefits.

Description for Social and Search
Low-flow fixtures reduce GHG emissions by reducing the volume of hot water that is used and therefore reducing the emissions from the energy used to heat that water.
Overview

What is our assessment?

Based on our analysis, using low-flow fixtures is a cost-effective strategy for reducing water consumption, but has only a modest impact on GHG emissions. Therefore, this climate solution is “Worthwhile.

Plausible Could it work? Yes
Ready Is it ready? Yes
Evidence Are there data to evaluate it? Yes
Effective Does it consistently work? Yes
Impact Is it big enough to matter? No
Risk Is it risky or harmful? No
Cost Is it cheap? Yes

What is it?

Low-flow fixtures lessen the total consumption of water by reducing flow rates through a household faucet or shower. Less hot water use means fewer emissions from the energy source used to heat the water, and it also means fewer emissions from pumping and treating tap water. Heating water for showers, sinks, and other domestic appliances is often the second largest source of emissions from buildings after space heating. Modern low-flow showerheads can produce comparable pressure and coverage to traditional showerheads through aeration and/or laminar flow. Aerators for faucets and low-flow showerheads are relatively low-cost investments that users can install themselves.

Does it work?

Low-flow fixtures reduce emissions from heating, delivering, and treating water by reducing hot water consumption. There is ample evidence for water savings with low-flow fixtures, as well as for the linkage between quantity and source of energy used for water heating and GHG emissions. Additionally, there is substantial research on the emissions from treating and pumping water, which can be reduced through water conservation. Low-flow fixtures are readily available, and performance labels are available to help consumers select quality products.

Why are we excited?

Low-flow fixtures conserve water, which reduces emissions, reduces energy demand, saves consumers money, and helps with sustainable water resource management. Households that adopt low-flow fixtures can enjoy significant utility bill savings because these fixtures reduce both water consumption and the energy used to heat water in the home. Faucet aerators also produce a smoother water stream with less splashing, and along with low-flow showerheads, are low-cost and simple to install. Household water conservation practices, such as low-flow fixtures, can help with regional sustainable water resource management and defer infrastructure expansion projects. This is particularly important in areas where water resources are increasingly strained due to climate change, growing populations, and other factors. In some regions, community water conservation efforts have had measurable impacts on water treatment costs, resulting in lower water rates for consumers.  

Why are we concerned?

Even with widespread adoption, low-flow fixtures would have a relatively small impact on GHG emissions. Moreover, the low cost and ease of replacement mean that low-flow fixtures can be easily reverted to less efficient fixtures, eliminating the emissions impact and other benefits. Lastly, although modern quality low-flow showerheads are comparable to traditional fixtures, the poor quality of early low-flow showerheads may have contributed to decreasing levels of adoption in some areas.

Solution in Action

Alliance for water efficiency. (2017). Conservation keeps rates low in Tucson, Arizona. Link to source: https://allianceforwaterefficiency.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/AWE_Tucson_ConsRates_FactSheet_final.pdf

Dieu-Hang, T., Grafton, R. Q., Martínez-Espiñeira, R., & Garcia-Valiñas, M. (2017). Household adoption of energy and water-efficient appliances: An analysis of attitudes, labelling and complementary green behaviours in selected OECD countries. Journal of Environmental Management, 197, 140–150. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2017.03.070

Environmental protection agency. (2022). WaterSense performance overview: Showerheads. Link to source: https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-05/ws-products-perfomance-showerheads.pdf

Kenway, S. J., Pamminger, F., Yan, G., Hall, R., Lam, K. L., Skinner, R., Olsson, G., Satur, P., & Allan, J. (2023). Opportunities and challenges of tackling Scope 3 “Indirect” emissions from residential hot water. Water Research X, 21, 100192. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wroa.2023.100192

Maas, A., Puri, R., & Goemans, C. (2024). A review of residential water conservation policies and attempts to measure their effectiveness. PLOS Water, 3(8), e0000278. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pwat.0000278

Paraschiv, S., Paraschiv, L. S., & Serban, A. (2023). An overview of energy intensity of drinking water production and wastewater treatment. Energy Reports, 9, 118–123. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2023.08.074

Pomianowski, M. Z., Johra, H., Marszal-Pomianowska, A., & Zhang, C. (2020). Sustainable and energy-efficient domestic hot water systems: A review. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 128, 109900. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2020.109900

Tomberg, L. (2024). Resource conservation through improved efficiency, behavioral change, or both: Willingness to pay for (smart) efficient shower heads. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 203, 107387. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2023.107387

Yateh, M., Li, F., Tang, Y., Li, C., & Xu, B. (2024). Energy consumption and carbon emissions management in drinking water treatment plants: A systematic review. Journal of Cleaner Production, 437, 140688. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.140688

Zhou, Y., Essayeh, C., Darby, S., & Morstyn, T. (2024). Evaluating the social benefits and network costs of heat pumps as an energy crisis intervention. iScience, 27(2), Article 2. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2024.108854 

Credits

Lead Fellow

  • Heather McDiarmid, Ph.D.

Internal Reviewer

  • Christina Swanson, Ph.D.
Speed of Action
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Caveats
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Additional Benefits
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Risks
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Consensus
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Trade-offs
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Action Word
Use
Solution Title
Low-Flow Fixtures
Classification
Worthwhile
Updated Date
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Zoltan Nagy
Zoltan Nagy, Ph.D.
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Zoltan Nagy
Zoltan Nagy, Ph.D.

Zoltan Nagy, Ph.D., researches intelligent energy management systems for buildings and cities. His work with CityLearn, an open-source platform for energy modeling, helps communities reduce their carbon footprint through smarter grid interaction.

With a background in mechanical engineering, Nagy focuses on practical applications of artificial intelligence for sustainability, developing tools that help buildings use energy more efficiently while maintaining comfort. His research bridges academic innovation with real-world implementation, contributing to climate solutions in the built environment. He holds an Msc and a PhD in Mechanical Engineering from ETH Zurich, Switzerland.

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