Boost Whale Restoration
Reintroducing or increasing the populations of large wild herbivores – such as bison, elephants, and moose – in natural and degraded ecosystems alters habitats, potentially leading to greater carbon removal from the atmosphere and increased carbon storage in vegetation and soils. However, evidence of its effectiveness is limited and mixed. Changes in carbon storage are difficult to measure and highly dependent on habitat condition, herbivore species, population density, and the presence of predators. That said, this solution has potential biodiversity benefits, even if its impact on carbon is minimal. Given the limited evidence and the highly context-dependent effectiveness, we categorize this solution as “Keep Watching.”
Based on our analysis, restoring large herbivores can provide climate benefits, but there is limited (and mixed) evidence on its carbon removal effectiveness across different ecosystem types. We will “Keep Watching” this potential climate solution.
| Plausible | Could it work? | Yes |
|---|---|---|
| Ready | Is it ready? | Yes |
| Evidence | Are there data to evaluate it? | Limited |
| Effective | Does it consistently work? | No |
| Impact | Is it big enough to matter? | ? |
| Risk | Is it risky or harmful? | No |
| Cost | Is it cheap? | ? |
Restoring large (>45 kg) wild herbivores – such as bison, moose, and elephants – means reintroducing or increasing their populations on natural and degraded lands where they are absent. Large herbivores play an important role in carbon, water, and nutrient cycling and shape habitats for plants and animals. Herbivores alter the diversity and abundance of plant species, the habitat structure (such as forest vs. grassland), and plant productivity. These changes help mitigate climate change in three main ways. First, carbon storage can increase if plant productivity increases. Second, herbivores generally create more open landscapes that reflect more sunlight, which has a local cooling effect. Third, herbivores can reduce the risk of intense wildfires by creating more open ecosystems and reducing fuel loads.
There is limited and mixed data on the solution's effectiveness. It is difficult to measure responses to a single change within a complex ecosystem and to account for differences across ecosystem types, pre-implementation levels of degradation, herbivore species, and herbivore density. Several examples illustrate these context-dependent nuances. Forest elephants prefer palatable tree species, favoring those with denser wood (more carbon), and disperse large fruits from larger, carbon-rich trees. In contrast, elephants in the savanna reduce carbon stocks by browsing branches and knocking over trees, creating a more open, grassy habitat that stores less carbon in vegetation. However, this may be offset if soil carbon builds up over time. In the boreal forest and tundra, caribou reduce tree and shrub cover (lowering carbon stocks), creating more open habitat. The open habitat reflects more sunlight than the forest (creating local cooling). Still, the exposed ground may warm enough to increase the rate of decay of organic matter in the soil (increasing CO₂ emissions).
Where restoring herbivores increases carbon storage in the ecosystem, it complements or contributes to Protect Forests, Restore Forests, Protect Grasslands and Savannas, and Restore Grasslands and Savannas. Restoring large herbivores, such as manatees, in coastal and marine ecosystems could boost carbon storage, though there is even less evidence in marine ecosystems than in terrestrial ones.
Restoring large herbivores is a key component of active or passive ecological restoration approaches to increase species diversity, restore natural processes, and aid species dispersal on natural and degraded lands. Where restoring herbivores increases carbon storage in the ecosystem, it complements the climate solutions for protecting and restoring ecosystems. Even when it has limited mitigation potential, the solution still has many biodiversity benefits. It helps protect and restore large herbivore species, ~60% of which are threatened with extinction. In addition, herbivory is an important ecological process in many ecosystems. In boreal and tundra regions, reintroducing caribou reduces the risk of intense wildfires in the forest and can limit the northward expansion of forests, which accelerates warming. Reintroducing bison to the Great Plains on grasslands previously grazed by cattle has little impact on the carbon storage. However, it increases plant species diversity, reduces methane emissions, and rebuilds cultural heritage for Indigenous people. This solution is becoming more common, particularly in Europe, but we are unable to estimate the potential global adoption and impact.
The disadvantage of this solution for climate mitigation is that it can be expensive per metric ton of carbon, often has a limited impact, and, in many cases, can decrease carbon stocks. For example, reintroducing herbivores, such as elephants or deer, at high densities can reduce carbon stocks and limit further carbon sequestration. As a result, excluding or reducing herbivore abundance is a strategy in many habitat restorations. Changes in carbon storage, particularly in soils, are very difficult to measure and to attribute solely to the reintroduction of herbivores.
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Paul C. West, Ph.D.
Christina Swanson, Ph.D.
Emily Cassidy
Deploy Ocean Electrochemistry uses electricity to separate seawater into acidic and basic solutions, which can be used to remove CO₂ in different ways. Acidic streams can be used to alter the chemistry of seawater, either by releasing dissolved CO₂ for capture and long-term storage or by weathering alkaline rocks and increasing seawater alkalinity. Basic streams can be added to seawater to increase its alkalinity, which enables the ocean to absorb additional atmospheric CO₂, or to shift carbon from dissolved to solid mineral form. Advantages of this carbon removal solution include its potential to co-produce usable products, such as hydrogen gas, and to leverage existing coastal infrastructure, including desalination plants, in some areas. Disadvantages include uncertain effectiveness, scalability, and environmental impacts, likely high costs, and potentially high energy and infrastructure needs. Currently, we will “Keep Watching” this solution.
Overall, ocean electrochemical approaches appear plausible, but their costs, environmental impacts, and effectiveness require further research. Furthermore, improving energy efficiency and increasing the use of low-carbon electricity supply will be critical to its viability as a large-scale global climate solution. Therefore, we will “Keep Watching” this solution.
| Plausible | Could it work? | Yes |
|---|---|---|
| Ready | Is it ready? | No |
| Evidence | Are there data to evaluate it? | Limited |
| Effective | Does it consistently work? | ? |
| Impact | Is it big enough to matter? | Yes |
| Risk | Is it risky or harmful? | ? |
| Cost | Is it cheap? | No |
Ocean electrochemical systems pass an electrical current through seawater to drive chemical reactions that redistribute major ions, creating separate acidic and basic solutions that can be used for CO₂ removal in different ways. One common method uses an acidic solution to lower the pH of seawater. This shifts the chemical balance in the carbonate system toward dissolved CO₂, which then degasses from the water and can be captured for long-term storage in underground geologic reservoirs. Another variation uses the basic solution to increase the alkalinity of seawater, which shifts the carbonate system so that the ocean can absorb and remove more atmospheric CO₂, similar to Deploy Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement. Several other variations exist, including designs that use the acidic stream to weather alkaline rocks and the basic stream to precipitate carbon-containing minerals, such as carbonates. These systems can operate as closed systems, in which carbon removal is achieved with on-site infrastructure, as open systems, which rely on effluent discharge into the ocean to complete carbon removal, or as combination hybrid systems that combine both approaches.
The fundamental chemistry and physics underlying electrochemical methods for shifting chemical reactions and ionic balances in solutions are well understood and sound. These approaches are already used on a large scale in industrial applications, such as the chlor-alkali process for producing sodium hydroxide and chlorine. However, using electrochemistry to remove CO₂ from seawater remains in early development. Studies show that CO₂ can be removed using these methods, and some pilot projects are currently underway; however, the effectiveness and costs of approaches, particularly when energy requirements are factored in, are still uncertain. In addition, the effectiveness of ocean electrochemistry for CO₂ removal also depends on how the removed CO₂ is stored. For example, to have a beneficial climate impact, CO₂ degassed from acidified seawater must be permanently stored deep underground rather than used as a chemical precursor for the manufacture of other products or for enhanced oil recovery, both of which create additional GHG emissions.
Ocean electrochemical systems for CO₂ removal offer several potential advantages, including useful co-products, opportunities to leverage existing infrastructure, and possible environmental benefits. Some electrochemical variations generate beneficial co-products, such as hydrogen gas, which could help offset costs and displace external fossil fuel energy demand. Some designs can also be coupled with existing brine streams in desalination or industry to leverage both infrastructure and waste feedstocks. In other cases, seawater itself serves as an abundant natural feedstock for these electrochemical processes. In some variants, environmental benefits may include local reductions in ocean acidification, which may benefit some marine organisms. Additionally, monitoring and verification of electrochemical variations using closed-system approaches may be more straightforward compared to other marine carbon dioxide removal (mCDR) approaches that require tracking carbon across large regions and depths of the ocean.
Ocean electrochemical approaches for carbon removal present several challenges with respect to cost, effectiveness, and potential environmental impacts. Many designs are energy-intensive, require substantial infrastructure, and need large volumes of seawater. Their effectiveness and overall climate impact will depend on access to low-carbon electricity and accurate accounting of full life cycle energy use, since use of fossil-based electricity could offset much of the CO₂ removal benefits. Costs are unclear but are largely estimated to be well above US$500/t CO₂ for many variations. Additionally, some approaches, such as those that aim for carbonate mineral precipitation, do not inherently yield net CO₂ removal unless the alkalinity used for mineral formation is replenished, which can be costly.
If the electrochemical approach relies on capturing CO₂ from seawater, geologic storage will be required to dispose of the degassed CO₂. Furthermore, some co-products of electrochemical approaches, such as acidic brines or chlorine gas, could exceed viable market demand at large scales and may require waste disposal or the development of technologies to reduce or eliminate their production. Finally, for open-system electrochemistry variants that rely on effluent interactions in the ocean to complete carbon removal, carbon accounting will likely need to extend far beyond the facility itself, making monitoring and verification of carbon removal similarly complex to other marine carbon dioxide removal approaches.
Environmental impacts are not well understood but will depend on the specific electrochemical approach. Approaches that discharge chemically altered effluent into the ocean could impact marine organisms near discharge points, with ecosystem responses that remain highly uncertain. Large-scale pumping of seawater could affect marine organisms through entrainment and other intake impacts, due to the large volume of influent needed for these approaches at scale. When these approaches require alkaline rocks, they raise concerns about the potential effects of mining, similar to Deploy Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement and Enhanced Rock Weathering.
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Ocean Visions. (2025). Electrochemical ocean carbon dioxide removal. Link to source: https://oceanvisions.org/electrochemical-ocean-capture/
Ocean alkalinity enhancement (OAE) increases the ocean’s natural ability to remove CO₂ from the air by increasing the alkalinity of ocean water. This carbon removal practice could be globally effective at removing CO₂ at the gigaton level annually and is currently being tested in field studies. Advantages of OAE include its ability to mitigate ocean acidification where it’s deployed and its scalability. Disadvantages include uncertainties surrounding OAEs’ global effectiveness and feasibility, potential impacts on marine life and humans, complex monitoring needed for verification, and potentially high costs, all of which need to be more closely studied. We will “Keep Watching” Deploy Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement until the technology advances and its risks, costs, and benefits become clearer.
Based on our analysis, OAE could be a promising carbon removal technique, but it is not ready for large-scale deployment until the risks, costs, and effectiveness become clearer. We will “Keep Watching” this potential climate solution.
| Plausible | Could it work? | Yes |
|---|---|---|
| Ready | Is it ready? | No |
| Evidence | Are there data to evaluate it? | Limited |
| Effective | Does it consistently work? | No |
| Impact | Is it big enough to matter? | Yes |
| Risk | Is it risky or harmful? | ? |
| Cost | Is it cheap? | ? |
OAE is the practice of adding alkalinity to seawater to increase the ocean’s ability to remove atmospheric CO₂. The addition of alkalinity through OAE mimics the natural process of weathering, or the physical and chemical breakdown of rocks. Rock weathering on land produces alkaline substances that eventually flow into the ocean through rivers and groundwater. This natural supply of alkalinity reduces ocean acidity, which affects the distribution of various carbon forms in the ocean. As alkalinity increases, CO₂ dissolved in seawater shifts toward more stable carbon forms, like bicarbonate and carbonate ions, that cannot exchange with air. This allows the ocean to remove more gaseous CO₂ from the atmosphere because the ocean and the atmosphere maintain a balance of CO₂ through gas movement at the sea surface. Most of the dissolved carbon in the ocean is bicarbonate and carbonate ions, which can persist in seawater for thousands of years. Under natural conditions, the ocean removes nearly 0.5 Gt of CO₂ annually. OAE generally relies on dissolving large amounts of ground-up rocks, either directly in the ocean or indirectly in water that is added to the ocean, to increase alkalinity and remove CO₂. This practice typically requires mining for alkaline rocks, though alkaline materials can also be sourced from waste by-products of other industries (e.g., steel slag, mine tailings) or commercially through human-made substances.
The science behind OAE is theoretically sound, and OAE is expected to result in durable storage over long time periods (>100 years). At scale, OAE could potentially remove over 1 Gt CO₂ /yr, but additional lab and field-based studies are needed to understand whether this approach is effective and safe. The majority of our understanding of OAE comes from models and laboratory experiments. However, when crushed minerals have been dispersed in field studies, the dissolution has not always occurred as expected. Several large-scale experimental trials are currently underway or planned, which will produce real-world data and inform monitoring and verification tactics needed to help refine and guide future implementation. These tests will also provide critical information on any ecological or community impacts. Various ways of implementing OAE are being developed, including ship-based dispersal, shoreline-based systems, and other approaches that leverage existing industrial waste streams or combine with other marine carbon dioxide removal (mCDR) techniques, such as electrochemical alkalinity generation.
OAE removes CO₂ from the atmosphere and stores it in the ocean as bicarbonate and carbonate ions, which are stable over long time periods. This means the CO₂ would be durably stored from the atmosphere for thousands of years. OAE could be scaled globally and can also mitigate local ocean acidification, a growing issue that threatens a range of marine ecosystems. Indeed, adding alkalinity to seawater has already been shown to mitigate ocean acidification in some coral reefs. Mitigating ocean acidification could also benefit fisheries and aquaculture, highlighting the potential for OAE to provide additional local benefits beyond carbon removal.
Several technical, environmental, and social concerns surround OAE. The effectiveness could be limited by real-world conditions that either transport the alkaline materials away from the ocean’s surface before CO₂ can be absorbed or result in unexpected chemical reactions or biological uptake of the added alkalinity. Measuring and verifying the amount of CO₂ permanently stored using OAE is also challenging and will rely on a combination of field data and complex numerical models, which will require significant effort to collect and develop. Beyond these technical challenges, OAE poses potential environmental risks on land and in the ocean. On land, OAE could require an expansion of mining that rivals the cement industry, which could have negative environmental impacts on human and ecosystem health. In the ocean, increased alkalinity and the potential release of metals from the source rocks could negatively affect some marine life, but our understanding of the effects on individual species and food webs is limited. OAE could also interfere with existing ocean uses (e.g., fisheries, recreation) in some places and could have other unintended consequences as well. For instance, research suggests that OAE reduces natural alkalinity production in some ocean areas. In addition, OAE faces several social challenges. To be successful, mCDR approaches, like OAE, will require rapid, meaningful, and just community engagement. Public concerns about OAE have already led to a pilot project cancellation, highlighting the importance of public perception for OAE feasibility. It is also unclear if OAE can be scaled globally at reasonable costs, with current estimates highly variable but generally over US$100/t CO₂. Lastly, acquiring and dispersing sufficient alkaline materials could be challenging at scale, particularly because some materials are currently energy-intensive to source, transport, and/or produce.
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Enhanced rock weathering removes CO₂ from the air by accelerating the natural chemical and physical breakdown of certain rocks. This carbon removal practice can be effective and has been deployed in pilot and small-scale commercial projects. Advantages include its reliance on a natural process (geological weathering), its potential for large-scale deployment on land or in the ocean, and its potential to improve soil conditions and crop yields. Disadvantages of enhanced rock weathering include unpredictable effectiveness for carbon removal, complex monitoring and measurement requirements, and high costs. We will “Keep Watching” Enhanced Rock Weathering, but it is not yet ready for large-scale deployment as a climate solution.
Based on our analysis, enhanced rock weathering is a promising carbon removal technique, but it is not ready for large-scale deployment. We will “Keep Watching” this potential climate solution.
| Plausible | Could it work? | Yes |
|---|---|---|
| Ready | Is it ready? | Yes |
| Evidence | Are there data to evaluate it? | Yes |
| Effective | Does it consistently work? | No |
| Impact | Is it big enough to matter? | Yes |
| Risk | Is it risky or harmful? | No |
| Cost | Is it cheap? | No |
Enhanced rock weathering is a practice that removes CO₂ from the atmosphere by accelerating the natural chemical and physical breakdown, or weathering, of rocks such as basalt, olivine, or limestone. This is typically achieved by crushing the rocks into dust or sand-sized particles to increase their surface area before applying them to croplands, beaches, or directly into the ocean, the latter of which is also a form of carbon removal known as ocean alkalinity enhancement. During weathering, the rock surface chemically reacts with atmospheric CO₂ that is dissolved in rain or ocean water. This reaction produces bicarbonate ions containing the carbon from the captured CO₂ and positively charged cations, such as magnesium or calcium, depending on the type of rock. For land-based enhanced rock weathering, the bicarbonate needs to be flushed out to the ocean, where it is stable and can be securely stored for thousands of years.
The basic idea of enhanced rock weathering is scientifically and geologically sound. Its effectiveness in converting atmospheric CO₂ into bicarbonate has been demonstrated in laboratory and field trials for several rock types and application sites. There are currently numerous research and demonstration projects underway. More than a dozen companies are selling enhanced rock weathering-based carbon removal credits, with nearly 10,000 t CO₂ reported to have been removed as of early 2025.
Enhanced rock weathering has several features that improve the likelihood that it can be scaled up to remove and store globally meaningful amounts of atmospheric CO₂ (>0.1 Gt CO₂/yr). Since enhanced rock weathering utilizes a natural process – mineralization – it does not need to be combined with other technologies to capture CO₂ from the air or durably store it. Moreover, it does not require external energy for the carbon capture and storage process, although it does use energy and generate emissions from the mining, crushing, transport, and deployment of the crushed rock. Suitable rock types, such as basalt, which is widely used in construction, paving, and concrete, are common and often locally available. Globally, there are large areas of land and ocean surface on which enhanced rock weathering could be deployed, including on croplands where current agricultural practices often already include regular application of soil amendments. A recent study suggested that extensive deployment of enhanced rock weathering on U.S. agricultural lands could sequester 0.16–0.30 Gt CO₂/yr by 2050. Other studies have shown that the application of crushed rock to croplands for enhanced rock weathering can improve soil pH, provide essential soil nutrients, and improve crop yields.
There are numerous challenges for enhanced rock weathering, as well as potential risks and adverse impacts from its large-scale deployment. Numerous studies on both land- and ocean-based enhanced rock weathering have shown that the amounts of atmospheric CO₂ converted into bicarbonate are highly variable, dependent on rock type, soil type, application rates, and other variables, and are therefore difficult to accurately predict and model. This makes measurement, reporting, and verification of the amount of CO₂ captured and stored, which is essential for the carbon market, reliant on extensive and expensive field measurements and customized models. There are also concerns about the harmful impacts of heavy metals, like nickel or chromium, that can be released during weathering, as well as other ecological impacts and environmental justice concerns, particularly for crushed rock deployed on beaches or in the ocean. Finally, costs for deployment and the purchase of enhanced rock weathering-based carbon credits are relatively high (>US$200–US$500/t CO₂ removed) and will likely remain high if verification continues to depend on large numbers of field measurements and carbon removal cannot be easily modeled. There is a general consensus in the scientific community that the current knowledge base is not sufficient to reliably or accurately quantify the CO₂ captured and stored by most land- or ocean-based enhanced rock weathering deployments.
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We define the Deploy Silvopasture solution as the adoption of agroforestry practices that add trees to grazing land, including planted pastures and natural rangelands. (Note that this solution does NOT include creating forested grazing land by thinning existing forest; this is a form of deforestation and not desirable in terms of climate.) Some silvopastures are open savannas, while others are dense, mature tree plantations. The trees may be planted or managed to naturally regenerate. Some silvopasture systems have been practiced for thousands of years, while others have been recently developed. All provide shade to livestock; in some systems, the trees feed livestock, produce timber or crops for human consumption, or provide other benefits. New adoption is estimated from the 2025 level as a baseline which is therefore set to zero.
In silvopasture systems, trees are planted or allowed to naturally regenerate on existing pasture or rangeland. Tree density is generally less than forest, allowing sunlight through for good forage growth.
Silvopasture has multiple climate impacts, though carbon sequestration is the only one which has been thoroughly studied across all climates and sub-practices.
Silvopasture sequesters carbon in both soil and woody biomass. Carbon sequestration rates are among the highest of any farming system (Toensmeier, 2017). The lifetime accumulation of carbon in both soils and biomass is higher than for managed grazing alone (Montagnini et al., 2019; Nair et al., 2012).
Silvopasture can also reduce GHG emissions, though not in every case. We do not include emissions reductions in this analysis.
Conversion from pasture to silvopasture slightly increases capture and storage of methane in soils (Bentrup and Shi, in press). In addition, in fodder subtypes of silvopasture systems, ruminant livestock consume tree leaves or pods. Many, but not all, of the tree species used in these systems have tannin content that reduces emissions of methane from enteric fermentation (Jacobsen et al., 2019).
Some subtypes of silvopasture reduce nitrous oxide emissions from manure and urine, as grasses and trees capture nitrogen that microbes would otherwise convert to nitrous oxide. There are also reductions to nitrous oxide emissions from soils: 76–95% in temperate silvopastures and 16–89% in tropical-intensive silvopastures (Ansari et al., 2023; Murguietio et al., 2016).
Many silvopasture systems increase productivity of milk and meat. Yield increases can reduce emissions from deforestation by growing more food on existing farmland, but in some cases can actually worsen emissions if farmers clear forests to adopt the profitable practice (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC], 2019). The yield impact of silvopasture varies with tree density, climate, system type, and whether the yields of other products (e.g., timber) are counted as well (Rojas et al., 2022).
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Zhu, X., Liu, W., Chen, J., Bruijnzeel, L. A., Mao, Z., Yang, X., Cardinael, R., Meng, F.-R., Sidle, R. C., Seitz, S., Nair, V. D., Nanko, K., Zou, X., Chen, C., & Jiang, X. J. (2020). Reductions in water, soil and nutrient losses and pesticide pollution in agroforestry practices: A review of evidence and processes. Plant and Soil, 453(1–2), 45–86. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11104-019-04377-3
Eric Toensmeier
Ruthie Burrows, Ph.D.
Yusuf Jameel, Ph.D.
Daniel Jasper
Aiyana Bodi
Hannah Henkin
Ted Otte
Paul C. West, Ph.D.
We found a median carbon sequestration rate of 9.81 t CO₂‑eq /ha/yr (Table 1). This is based on an above-ground biomass (tree trunks and branches) accumulation rate of 6.43 t CO₂‑eq /ha/yr and a below-ground biomass (roots) accumulation rate of 1.61 t CO₂‑eq /ha/yr using a root-to-shoot ratio of 0.25 (Cardinael et al., 2019). These are added to the soil organic carbon sequestration rate of 1.76 t CO₂‑eq /ha/yr to create the combined total.
Table 1. Effectiveness at carbon sequestration.
Unit: t CO₂-eq/ha/yr, 100-yr basis
| 25th percentile | 4.91 |
| Mean | 14.70 |
| Median (50th percentile) | 9.81 |
| 75th percentile | 20.45 |
100-yr basis
Reductions in nitrous oxide and methane and sustainable intensification impacts are not yet quantifiable to the degree that they can be used in climate mitigation projections.
Because baseline grazing systems are already extensive and well established, we assumed there is no cost to establish new baseline grazing land. In the absence of global data sets on costs and revenues of grazing systems, we used a global average profit per hectare of grazing land of US$6.28 from Damania et al. (2023).
Establishment costs of silvopasture vary widely. We found the cost to establish one hectare of silvopasture to be US$1.06–4,825 (Dupraz & Liagre, 2011; Lee et al., 2011). Reasons for this wide range include the low cost of natural regeneration and the broad range in tree density depending on the type of system. We collected costs by region and used a weighted average to obtain a global net net cost value of US$424.20.
Cost and revenue data for silvopasture were insufficient. However, data on the impact on revenues per hectare are abundant. Our analysis found a median 8.7% increase in per-hectare profits from silvopasture compared with conventional grazing, which we applied to the average grazing value to obtain a net profit of US$6.82/ha. This does not reflect the very high revenues of silvopasture systems in some countries.
We calculated cost per t CO₂‑eq sequestered by dividing net net cost/ha by total CO₂‑eq sequestered/ha.
Table 2. Cost per unit of climate impact.
Unit: 2023 US$/t CO₂-eq
| Median | $43.25 |
100-yr basis & 20-yr basis are the same.
There is not enough information available to determine a learning curve for silvopasture. However, anecdotal evidence showed establishment costs decreasing as techniques for broadscale mechanized establishment were developed in Australia and Colombia (Murguietio et al., 2016; Shelton et al., 2021).
Speed of action refers to how quickly a climate solution physically affects the atmosphere after it is deployed. This is different from speed of deployment, which is the pace at which solutions are adopted.
At Project Drawdown, we define the speed of action for each climate solution as emergency brake, gradual, or delayed.
Deploy Silvopasture is a DELAYED climate solution. It works more slowly than gradual or emergency brake solutions. Delayed solutions can be robust climate solutions, but it’s important to recognize that they may not realize their full potential for some time.
Living biomass and soil organic matter only temporarily hold carbon (decades to centuries for soil organic matter, and for the life of the tree or any long-lived products made from its wood in the case of woody biomass). Sequestered carbon in both soils and biomass is vulnerable to fire, drought, long-term shifts to a drier precipitation regime, and other climate change impacts, as well as to a return to the previous farming or grazing practices. Such disturbances can cause carbon to be re-emitted to the atmosphere (Lorenz & Lal, 2018).
Like all upland, terrestrial agricultural systems, over the course of decades, silvopastures reach saturation and net sequestration slows to nearly nothing (Lorenz & Lal, 2018).
Lack of data on the current adoption of silvopasture is a major gap in our understanding of the potential of this solution. One satellite imaging study found 156 million ha of grazing land with more than 10 t C/ha in above-ground biomass, which is the amount that indicates more than grass alone (Chapman et al., 2019). However, this area includes natural savannas, which are not necessarily silvopastures, and undercounts the existing 15.1 million ha of silvopasture known to be present in Europe (den Herder et al., 2017).
Sprenkle-Hippolite et al. (2024) estimated a current adoption of 141.4 Mha, or 6.0% of grazing land (Table 3). We have chosen this more recent figure as the best available estimate of current adoption. Note that in Solution Basics in the dashboard above we set current adoption at zero. This is a conservative assumption to avoid counting carbon sequestration from land that has already ceased to sequester net carbon due to saturation, which takes place after 20–50 years (Lal et al., 2018).
Table 3. Current (2023) adoption level.
Unit: million ha
| Mean | 141.4 |
There is little quantifiable information reported about silvopasture adoption trends.
Grazing is the world’s largest land use at 2,986 Mha (Mehrabi et al., 2024). Much grazing land is too dry for trees, while other grasslands that were not historically forest or savanna should not be planted with trees in order to minimize water use and protect grassland habitat (Dudley et al., 2020). Three studies estimated the total potential area suitable for silvopasture (including current adoption).
Lal et al. (2018) estimated the technical potential for silvopasture adoption at 550 Mha.
Chapman et al. (2019) estimated the suitable area for increased woody biomass on grazing land as 1,890 Mha.
Sprenkle-Hippolite (2024) assessed the maximum area of grazing land to which trees could be added without reducing livestock productivity. They calculated a total of 1,589 Mha, or 67% of global grazing land (Table 4). To our knowledge, this is the most accurate estimate available.
Table 4. Adoption ceiling.
Unit: ha converted
| 25th percentile | 1069000000 |
| Mean | 1343000000 |
| Median (50th percentile) | 1588000000 |
| 75th percentile | 1739000000 |
Unit: % of grazing land
| 25th percentile | 45 |
| Mean | 36 |
| Median (50th percentile) | 53 |
| 75th percentile | 58 |
In our Achievable – High scenario, global silvopasture starts at 141.4 Mha and grows at the Colombian Nationally Determined Contribution growth rate of 6.5%/yr. This would provide the high end of the achievable potential at 206.3 Mha by 2030, of which 64.9 million ha are newly adopted (Table 5). For the Achievable – Low scenario, we chose 1/10 of Colombia’s projected growth rate. This would provide 147.0 Mha of adoption by 2030, of which 5.6 Mha are new.
Few estimates of the global adoption potential of silvopasture are available, and even those for the broader category of agroforestry are rare due to the lack of solid data on current adoption and growth rates (Shi et al., 2018; Hart et al., 2023). The IPCC estimates that, for agroforestry overall, 19.5% of the technical potential is economically achievable (IPCC AR6 WG3, 2022). Applying this rate to Sprenkle-Hippolite’s estimated 1,588 Mha technical potential yields an achievable potential of 310 Mha of convertible grazing land.
Our high adoption rate reaches 13% of the adoption ceiling by 2030. This suggests that silvopasture represents a large but relatively untapped potential that will require aggressive policy action and other incentives to spur scaling.
Table 5. Range of achievable adoption levels.
Unit: Mha
| Current adoption | 141.4 |
| Achievable – low | 147.0 |
| Achievable – high | 206.3 |
| Adoption ceiling | 1,588.0 |
Unit: Mha
| Current adoption | 0.00 |
| Achievable – low | 5.6 |
| Achievable – high | 64.9 |
| Adoption ceiling | 1,447.4 |
Carbon sequestration continues only for a period of decades; because silvopasture is an ancient practice with some plantings centuries old, we could not assume that previously adopted hectares continue to sequester carbon indefinitely. Much of the current adoption of silvopasture has been in place for centuries and sequestration there has presumably already slowed down to almost zero. We apply an adoption adjustment factor of 0.25 to current adoption (see Methodology) to reflect that most current adoption is no longer sequestering significant carbon, yet there is substantial new adoption within the past 20–50 years.
For new adoption the calculation is effectiveness * new adoption = climate impact.
For current adoption the calculation is effectiveness * 0.25 * current adoption = climate impact
Climate impacts shown in Table 6 are the sum of current and new adoption impacts. Carbon sequestration impact is 0.35 Gt CO₂‑eq/yr for current adoption, 0.40 Gt CO₂‑eq/yr for Achievable – Low, 0.98 Gt CO₂‑eq/yr for Achievable – High, and 14.54 Gt CO₂‑eq/yr for our Adoption Ceiling.
Table 6. Climate impact at different levels of adoption.
Unit: Gt CO₂‑eq/yr
| Current adoption | 0.35 |
| Achievable – low | 0.40 |
| Achievable – high | 0.98 |
| Adoption ceiling | 14.54 |
100-yr basis, New adoption only
Lal et al. (2018) estimated a technical global carbon sequestration potential of 0.3–1.0 Gt CO₂‑eq/yr. Sprenkle-Hyppolite et al. (2024) estimated a silvopasture technical potential of 1.4 Gt CO₂‑eq/yr ; this assumes a tree density of 2–6 trees/ha, which is substantially lower than typical silvopasture. For agroforestry overall (including silvopasture and other practices), the IPCC (2022) estimates an achievable potential of 0.8 Gt CO₂‑eq/yr and a technical potential of 4.0 Gt CO₂‑eq/yr.
Silvopasture can also increase and diversify farmer income. Tree fruit and timber often provide income for ranchers. A study in the southern United States showed that silvopasture systems generated 10% more income than standalone cattle production (Husak & Grado, 2002). A more comprehensive analysis across the eastern United States (Greene et al., 2023) found that virtually all silvopasture systems assessed had a positive 20- and 30-yr internal rate of return (IRR). For some systems, the 30-yr IRR can be >15% (Greene et al., 2023).
While evidence on the impact of silvopasture on yields is mixed, this practice can improve food security by diversifying food production and income sources (Bostedt et al., 2016; Smith et al., 2022). In pastoralists in Kenya, Bostedt et al. (2016) found that agroforestry practices were associated with increased dietary diversity, an important aspect of food and nutrition security. Diverse income streams can mediate household food security during adverse conditions, such as droughts or floods, especially in low- and middle-income countries (de Sherbinin et al., 2008; Di Prima et al., 2022; Frelat et al., 2016).
Trees boost habitat availability, enhance landscape connectivity, and aid in forest regeneration and restoration. In most climates they provide a major boost to biodiversity compared with pasture alone (Smith et al., 2022; Pezo et al., 2018).
By providing shade, silvopasture systems reduce heat stress experienced by livestock. Heat stress for cattle begins at 30 °C or even lower in some circumstances (Garrett et al., 2004). In the tropics, the cooling effect of integrating trees into a pastoral system is 0.32–2.4 °C/t of woody carbon added/ha (Zeppetello et al., 2022). Heifers raised in silvopasture systems had higher body mass and more optimal body temperature than those raised in intensive rotational grazing systems (Lemes et al., 2021). Improvement in livestock physiological conditions probably results from access to additional forage, increased livestock comfort, and reduced heat stress in silvopastoral systems. Silvopasture is highly desirable for its improvements to animal welfare (Goracci & Camilli, 2024).
Silvopasture and agroforestry are important for ensuring soil health (Basche et al., 2020). These practices improve soil health by reducing erosion and may also contribute to soil organic matter retention (U.S. Department of Agriculture Natural Resource Conservation Service ([USDA NRCS], 2025). There is evidence that silvopasture may improve soil biodiversity by preventing soil organism habitat loss and degradation (USDA NRCS, 2025).
Perennials in silvopasture systems could reduce runoff and increase water infiltration rates relative to open rangelands (Smith et al., 2022; Pezo et al., 2018). This increases the resilience of the system during drought and high heat. Silvopasture can improve water quality by retaining soil sediments and filtering pollutants found in runoff (USDA NRCS, 2025). On average, silvopasture and agroforestry practices can reduce runoff of sediments and excess nutrients into water 42–47% (Zhu et al., 2020). The filtering benefits of silvopasture can also mitigate pollution of antibiotics from livestock operations from entering waterways (Moreno & Rolo, 2019).
Some of the tree and forage species used in silvopastures are invasive in certain contexts. For example, river tamarind (Leucaena leucocephala) is a centerpiece in intensive silvopasture in Latin America, where it is native, but also in Australia, where it is not. Australian producers have developed practices to limit or prevent its spread (Shelton et al., 2021).
Livestock can damage or kill young trees during establishment. Protecting trees or excluding grazing animals during this period increases costs (Smith et al., 2022).
Poorly designed tree layout can make herding, haying, fencing, and other management activities more difficult. Tree densities that are too high can reduce livestock productivity (Cadavid et al., 2020).
Silvopasture represents a way to produce some ruminant meat and dairy in a more climate-friendly way. This impact can contribute to addressing emissions from ruminant production, but only as part of a program that strongly emphasizes diet change and food waste reduction.
Forms of silvopasture that increase milk and meat yields can reduce pressure to convert undeveloped land to agriculture.
Silvopasture is a technique for restoring farmland.
Silvopasture is a form of savanna restoration.
Expanding silvopasture could restrict land availability for renewable energy or raw material and food production, since many technologies and practices could be sited on grazing lands. Silvopasture and forest restoration can also compete for the same land.
Silvopasture is a kind of agroforestry, though in this iteration of Project Drawdown “Deploy Agroforestry” refers to crop production systems only. With that said, some agroforestry systems integrate both crops and livestock with the trees, such as the widespread parkland systems of the African Sahel.
ha converted from grazing land to silvopasture
CO₂
Solutions that improve ruminant production could undermine the argument for reducing ruminant protein consumption in wealthy countries.
Certain silvopasture systems reduce per-hectare productivity of meat and milk, even if overall productivity increases when the yields of timber or food from the tree component are included. For example, silvopasture systems that are primarily focused on timber production, with high tree densities, will have lower livestock yields than pasture alone - though they will have high timber yields.
The costs of establishment are much higher than those of managed grazing. There is also a longer payback period (Smith et al., 2022). These limitations mean that secure land tenure is even more important than usual, to make adoption worthwhile (Poudel et al., 2024).
Silvopasture is primarily appropriate for grazing land that receives sufficient rainfall to support tree growth. While it can be implemented on both cropland and grassland, if adopted on cropland, it will reduce food yield because livestock produce much less food per hectare than crops. In the humid tropics, a particularly productive and high-carbon variation called intensive silvopasture is an option. Ideally, graziers will have secure land tenure, though pastoralist commons have been used successfully.
Areas too dry to establish trees (<450 mm annual precipitation) are not suitable for silvopasture by tree planting, but regions that can support natural savanna may be suitable for managed natural regeneration.
Most silvopasture today appears in sub-Saharan Africa (Chapman et al., 2019), though this may reflect grazed natural savannas rather than intentional silvopasture. This finding neglects well-known systems in Latin America and Southern Europe.
Chapman et al. (2019) listed world grasslands by their potential to add woody biomass. According to their analysis, the countries with the greatest potential to increase woody biomass carbon in grazing land are, in order: Australia, Kazakhstan, China, the United States, Mongolia, Iran, Argentina, South Africa, Sudan, Afghanistan, Russia, and Mexico. Tropical grazing land accounts for 73% of the potential in one study. Brazil, China, and Australia have the highest areas, collectively accounting for 37% of the potential area (Sprenkle-Hippolite 2024).
We do not present any maps for the silvopasture solution due to the uncertainties in identifying current areas where silvopasture is practiced, and in identifying current grasslands that were historically forest or savanna.
There is a high level of consensus about the carbon biosequestration impacts of silvopasture, including for the higher per-hectare sequestration rates relative to improved grazing systems alone. A handful of reviews, expert estimations, and meta-analyses have been published on the subject. These include:
Cardinael et al. (2018) assembled data by climate and region for use in the national calculations and reporting.
Chatterjee et al. (2018) found that converting from pasture to silvopasture increases carbon stocks.
Lal et al. ( 2018) estimated the technical adoption and mitigation potential of silvopasture and other practices.
Udawatta et al. (2022) provided an up-to-date meta-analysis for temperate North America.
The results presented in this document summarize findings from two reviews, two meta-analyses, one expert opinion and three original studies reflecting current evidence from a global scale. We recognize this limited geographic scope creates bias, and hope this work inspires research and data sharing on this topic in underrepresented regions.
There is low consensus on the reduction of methane from enteric emissions, nitrous oxide from manure, and CO₂ from avoided deforestation due to increased productivity. We do not include these climate impacts in our calculations.
Until recently there was little understanding of the current adoption of silvopasture. Sprenkle-Hyppolite et al. (2024) used Delphi expert estimation to determine current adoption and technical potential. Rates of adoption and achievable potential are still largely unreported or uninvestigated. See the Adoption section for details.
Alternative grazing refers to approaches to managing ruminant livestock – including multiple fenced paddocks and frequent animal movement, short grazing periods, and enforced rest periods for forage – that aim to increase soil organic carbon (SOC) by allowing vegetation to recover. Robust evidence, including independent, commercial-scale before-and-after control studies that track SOC to at least 30 cm over 5–10+ years, is lacking. The best available research suggests that these practices do not consistently produce additional, durable SOC gains relative to continuous grazing, and that SOC outcomes strongly depend on climate and land-use contexts.
Alternative grazing can deliver localized ecosystem benefits, particularly where previous continuous grazing has caused erosion near waterways or where more strategic movement of ruminant livestock could help. However, these practices require added labor, fencing, and water infrastructure, which can constrain adoption. The potential benefits of alternative grazing do not alter the fact that beef is the highest emitting type of food, and an emphasis on deploying alternative grazing can delay shifts to lower-emitting food options that also allow land restoration. As a result, alternative grazing is not currently supported as an effective climate solution, but remains an area to “Keep Watching.”
Alternative grazing may reduce SOC loss that’s common in continuous overgrazing by allowing areas to rest, but evidence that it delivers additional carbon removal is inconsistent and limited to niche environmental conditions and geographies. Therefore, we will “Keep Watching” this solution.
| Plausible | Could it work? | Yes |
|---|---|---|
| Ready | Is it ready? | Yes |
| Evidence | Are there data to evaluate it? | Limited |
| Effective | Does it consistently work? | No |
| Impact | Is it big enough to matter? | No |
| Risk | Is it risky or harmful? | No |
| Cost | Is it cheap? | No |
Alternative grazing, also called adaptive multi-paddock, rotational, holistic, regenerative, or mob grazing, is a suite of ruminant livestock movement strategies that differ from conventional continuous grazing. Conventional continuous grazing mostly allows unmanaged grazing of a large pasture with limited or no structured rest periods for vegetation recovery. Alternative grazing uses multiple fenced paddocks and frequent animal movement, short grazing periods to redistribute pressure, and enforced rest periods for forage. The proposed carbon removal mechanism is that improved grazing management could increase SOC storage by enhancing plant growth, especially below ground root growth.
The biological mechanism by which recovering vegetation can increase SOC is well understood, but factors such as climate, soil type, prior land use, slope, and stocking rate often have greater influence on SOC than the type of grazing practice. Results from the few higher-quality studies suggest that alternative grazing does not produce consistent, additional, or durable SOC gains relative to continuous grazing. Most positive SOC findings come from wetter regions with higher rainfall, including lands converted from cropland, where gains may occur regardless of grazing style. Positive SOC findings rarely measure changes over time at the same site and often are based on shallow soil samples. A global meta-analysis found that strategic-rest grazing increased vegetation biomass only when stocking rates were reduced, and even then it did not guarantee SOC gains.
Alternative grazing, in limited and context-specific cases, can deliver localized ecosystem benefits, particularly where grazing is already occurring and degradation is severe. Managing grazing away from waterways and heavily compacted areas can reduce overgrazing damage and in some regions may benefit grassland bird habitat, though evidence is limited.
There are several reasons to be concerned about alternative grazing.
Creating areas of rest away from cattle grazing accrues additional management costs related to labor, fencing (physical or virtual), and water infrastructure, which could reduce adoption and scalability. Education gaps limit the ability of livestock managers to adopt the best approach.
Alternative grazing practices can result in reduced animal weight gains and associated increases in enteric methane emissions per unit of beef protein produced, potentially offsetting or outweighing any small, temporary SOC gains relative to continuous grazing. Any claimed SOC gains from grazing management are difficult to measure and verify. Many studies lack baseline SOC measurements, adequate controls, sufficient duration, or adequate soil-depth sampling, making it difficult to attribute carbon gains to grazing practices. In particular, grazing-specific solutions need to be compared with no-grazing or protected native ecosystems nearby, where carbon storage is greater and use does not generate methane.
A last key concern is that alternative grazing is frequently framed as a way to fix the climate impacts of beef production, the highest-GHG-emitting food option, rather than reducing beef demand through improving diets. Like feed additives and genetic efficiency gains, this can overstate production-side fixes, obscure the need for demand-side shifts, and delay more effective carbon removal pathways.
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