How much beef is too much for climate?

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An image of three cows with a blue background

Key Takeaways

  • Beef has an outsized climate impact compared to other protein sources, mainly due to methane emissions from – and land clearing for – cattle.
  • Keeping beef consumption to one serving per week and swapping additional servings for foods like chicken, fish, soy, peas, or nuts could cut billions of metric tons of greenhouse gas emissions globally.
  • Eating more chicken, fish, and plant-based proteins in lieu of beef is better for people and the planet, lowering greenhouse gas emissions, reducing deforestation and pollution, and improving health outcomes.

Protein is having a moment. These days, you can find it in cookies, pizza, soda – and even flavored water.

This recent obsession might have something to do with the newly revised United States dietary guidelines, which vowed to “end the war on protein,” highlighting steak and whole milk as healthy foods. The guidelines significantly increased daily protein recommendations to 1.2–1.6 grams per kilogram of body weight – almost double the previous guideline.

With this profusion of protein, you’d be forgiven for thinking there is some sort of chronic deficiency across the country, when in fact, most Americans get more than enough protein. And although it can be found in both plants and animals, Americans overwhelmingly get ours from meat, with beef and chicken typically being top choices.  

Our appetite for meat, and especially beef, contributes significantly to climate change. The average American consumes about 1.3 pounds of beef a week, equivalent to about six Big Macs.

2.8 BILLION

Metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalents that could be reduced each year if middle- and high-income countries kept beef consumption to one serving per week per person

Recently, my colleagues and I at Project Drawdown looked at some of the best ways to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from our diets. We calculated what would happen if consumers in high-income countries limited beef to one serving per week and replaced the excess beef with other tasty protein-rich foods. In other words, we asked how much beef is too much?  

Beef is the Coal of the Food System

To put beef’s climate impact in perspective, burning a pound of coal – the dirtiest fossil fuel – emits about two to four pounds of greenhouse gas emissions. But consuming the same amount of beef generates a whopping 80 to 100 pounds of emissions.  

But where does beef’s high emissions come from? It turns out it’s more carbon hoofprint than carbon footprint.

When beef cattle digest grasses and other feed in their multi-chambered stomachs, they produce a noxious greenhouse gas called methane. On a pound-for-pound basis, methane warms the planet about 80 times more than carbon dioxide in the short term. In addition, beef production requires a great deal of land. Land clearing and deforestation in tropical forests are primarily driven by cattle ranching and farming of animal feed crops. 

Similar to coal, which produces an outsized environmental toll, the climate impact of beef production far exceeds the calories and protein we get from it. Red meat production, including beef, lamb, and pork, accounts for 30% of global food-related emissions but generates only 5% of dietary calories or 2% of the global protein supply.

In 2019, a team of nutrition and sustainability experts, called the EAT-Lancet Commission, came together to assess what a diet would look like that was healthy for both people and the planet. They conducted an extensive review of peer-reviewed scientific research on the health and environmental effects of various foods to come up with recommendations for what they, appropriately, dubbed the “planetary health diet.” One of their major findings was that unhealthy overconsumption of red meat is a leading driver of greenhouse gas emissions and deforestation while increasing the risk of diabetes and cardiovascular disease.

So what did they find for the other foods they looked at?

How Other Protein-rich Foods Stack Up

Chicken, fish, soybeans, peas, and nuts are all protein-rich foods. They contain about 16–20% protein by weight, but they also take much less of a toll on climate than beef. And for those increasing protein intake for resistance training, a high-protein plant-rich diet builds just as much muscle as an omnivorous one when daily protein consumption is matched.

Since beef has such a large climate impact, my colleagues and I estimated how much emissions could be reduced if people who eat more than one serving (0.22 pounds) of beef per week replaced their extra beef with these other protein-rich foods. The weighted average of the emissions of these other protein-rich foods (which was skewed by high consumption of chicken and fish), is equivalent to about 10 pounds of carbon dioxide per pound, or one-eighth that of beef.

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A chart showing the greenhouse gas emissions of various protein sources

We found that reducing beef consumption to one serving per week in high- and middle-income countries could cut global beef production in half.

For instance, the United States, China, Brazil, and Argentina together consumed about five billion pounds more beef than recommended by the planetary health diet. If those countries reduced beef to one serving per week and ate other protein-rich foods instead, emissions could be reduced by the equivalent of 1.7 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide. And if all high- and middle-income countries reduced beef to those levels, emissions could be reduced by 2.8 billion tons – equivalent to half the annual emissions of the United States.

Eating better for the planet doesn’t require that everyone becomes vegan or even eliminate meat entirely. It’s about shifting from beef to any other protein-rich food. Not only will doing so reduce emissions, but it will also make you healthier. For example, although Americans on average get two-thirds of their protein from meat, plant-based proteins such as beans, nuts, and lentils are also good sources of fiber – a nutrient that many Americans don’t get enough of.

So how much beef is too much? If you want a science-backed number, anything over 0.22 pounds per week. But what our research really reveals is all that we can gain when we choose other meats and proteins. Better health outcomes, less pollution, fewer greenhouse gas emissions, and more land for nature; you can achieve all of that without lifting a finger. Well, you might have to lift a fork or spoon.


About the Authors

Emily Cassidy is an environmental scientist and writer, with expertise in agriculture, ecology, and land use. As a research associate at Project Drawdown, Emily evaluates the emissions mitigation potential of climate solutions in the food system.

About Project Drawdown 

Project Drawdown is the world’s leading guide to science-based climate solutions. Our mission is to drive meaningful climate action around the world. A 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization, Project Drawdown is funded by individual and institutional donations. 

This work is published under a Creative Commons CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license. You are welcome to republish it following the license terms.