Deploy Leaf Protein Concentrates
The Deploy Grass-Finished Beef solution involves raising cattle entirely on pasture for their full lives, as opposed to grain-finished beef, where cattle spend the final four to six months in feedlots prior to slaughter. Grass-finished beef has higher GHG emissions than grain-finished due to slower growth and forage diets, which increase enteric methane emissions per unit of beef and requires substantially more land for what is already the most resource-intensive food option available. Interest in grass-finished systems reflects efforts to reduce feed crop use, gain modest nutritional improvements, and reduce antimicrobial use. However, maintaining the current beef supply with grass-finished systems would require more cattle, far more land, and result in higher GHG emissions. Therefore, Deploy Grass-Finished Beef is “Not Recommended” as an effective climate solution.
Based on our analysis, grass-finished beef production has higher emissions of enteric methane and emissions from land use conversion than does conventional beef production, and would increase risks of biodiversity loss if scaled to meet current demand. Therefore, it is "Not Recommended" as a climate solution.
| Plausible | Could it work? | No |
|---|---|---|
| Ready | Is it ready? | Yes |
| Evidence | Are there data to evaluate it? | Yes |
| Effective | Does it consistently work? | No |
| Impact | Is it big enough to matter? | No |
| Risk | Is it risky or harmful? | No |
| Cost | Is it cheap? | No |
Grass-finished beef production involves raising cattle exclusively on available pasture for their entire lives, eliminating the need for feed crops and associated resources. All cattle begin life on pasture; however, in conventional beef production, the animals spend their final four to six months in high-density feedlots, often called concentrated animal feeding operations (CAFOs). In these systems, cattle are fed high-calorie, mostly grain-based-energy feeds to gain weight quickly. The animals put on one-third to one-half of their total weight during this time, to reach slaughter weight by ~18 months. In contrast, grass-finished beef production requires ~24 to 28 months for animals to reach market weight on forage alone.
Cattle raised entirely on grazing with no other feed inputs provide only about 1% of global protein. Using broader definitions of grass-finished that allow supplementary forage increases the global beef that would qualify to roughly one-third of global production (about 2–3% of global protein). Grass-fed cattle often receive supplementary feed in pasture-based systems in places such as Brazil, Ireland, and Australia, particularly during seasonal feed shortages.
Deploying grass-finished beef is not an effective climate mitigation strategy. Grass-finished cattle eat a more fibrous diet that produces higher methane emissions per unit of energy intake, and they take longer to reach market weight, resulting in higher lifetime methane emissions per animal. One widely cited study found that forage-fed cattle produce around four times more methane per unit of digestible energy intake than those fed corn- and grain-based diets. In addition, slower weight gain and longer production time require more grazing land, which would likely increase emissions from deforestation and other land use change. Life-cycle assessments consistently show higher emissions per kilogram for grass-finished beef than for grain-finished beef. Even the most efficient grass-finished systems produce 10–25% more emissions per kilogram of protein than grain-finished U.S. beef, and three to over 40 times more than a wide range of plant and animal protein alternatives.
Interest in grass-finished beef reflects a broader effort to reduce the environmental harms of industrial livestock systems and improve land stewardship. In limited local contexts, if grass-finished and feedlot grain–finished cattle could gain weight equally, this could alleviate the need for crops destined for feedlot. A recent estimate found that, globally, 34% of crops grown on recently converted natural ecosystems went to animal feed instead of feeding people directly. While grass-finished beef has a higher total water use, it can reduce water risk by shifting from irrigated feed crops for cattle feedlots to rain-fed pastures.
From a human health standpoint, grass-finished beef may contain slightly higher omega-3 fatty acids and vitamin E, but the differences are small and unlikely to meaningfully affect health outcomes. It is often slightly leaner, which can reduce total fat and saturated fat somewhat, but beef in general remains higher in fat than most food options, which increases the risk of heart disease. Within the broader category of red meat, it is still a Group 2A probable carcinogen, according to the World Health Organization.
Another human health consideration is that grass finishing requires less antimicrobial use. Antibiotics and other antimicrobials are often used in large quantities in confined livestock systems, and cattle account for over half of antimicrobial use among cattle, chickens, and pigs. This use increased by 43% between 2010 and 2020, raising concerns about accelerating antimicrobial resistance and making infection treatments in humans less effective. This may be the strongest case for grass-finished beef, particularly within a global demand reduction scenario.
From an animal welfare perspective, pasture-based systems allow natural behaviors such as walking, socializing, and grazing freely. However, animals are still slaughtered at a young age (before 3 years old) relative to their natural lifespan of 20 years.
Beef production is already the largest single land use globally and the most emissions-intensive food option. Shifting to grass-finished systems would further increase this footprint. Beef is inherently protein-inefficient, requiring large amounts of feed and land. While grass-finished systems were historically the norm, the rise of grain-finishing feedlots after the 1950s modestly improved efficiency by shortening cattle lifespans and reducing per-kilogram land use. Land is a key limiting factor in any expansion of grass-finished production. In the United States, pastureland could support only approximately 27% of current beef production under grass-finished systems. Maintaining current output would require roughly 30% more cattle and 270% more land and would result in a 43% increase in associated methane emissions.
Such land expansion would pose serious biodiversity loss risks. Animal-sourced foods are the leading driver of biodiversity and habitat loss globally. Ruminant meat is disproportionately responsible, causing extinction risks ~340 times higher than grains by mass and ~100 times higher than legumes both by mass and when adjusted for protein, according to a 2025 study.
Last, many government and commercial “grass-fed” certifications are not well enforced and often include cropland-grown forage, which still results in slower weight gain, more methane emissions, and often land carbon leakage. As a result, there are concerns about greenwashing as major fast-food chains market grass-fed beef as environmentally friendly.
While there will likely continue to be an appeal to consumers to choose grass-finished beef, it does not meaningfully change the environmental reality of producing it.
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Blaustein-Rejto, D., Soltis, N., & Blomqvist, L. (2023). Carbon opportunity cost increases carbon footprint advantage of grain-finished beef. PLOS ONE, 18(12), e0295035. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0295035
Capper, J. L. (2011). The environmental impact of beef production in the United States: 1977 compared with 2007. Journal of Animal Science, 89(12), 4249–4261. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.2527/jas.2010-3784
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Eshel, G., Shepon, A., Shaket, T., Cotler, B. D., Gilutz, S., Giddings, D., Raymo, M. E., & Milo, R. (2018). A model for “sustainable” US beef production. Nature Ecology & Evolution, 2(1), 81–85. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-017-0390-5
Eshel, G., Flamholz, A. I., Shepon, A., & Milo, R. (2025). US grass-fed beef is as carbon intensive as industrial beef and ≈10-fold more intensive than common protein-dense alternatives. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 122(12), e2404329122. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2404329122
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Hayek, M. (2022). Missing the grassland for the cows: Scaling grass‐finished beef production entails tradeoffs–Comment on “Grazed perennial grasslands can match current beef production while contributing to climate mitigation and adaptation.” Agricultural & Environmental Letters, 7(2). Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1002/ael2.20073
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This solution involves industrially farming insects, such as crickets, mealworms, and black soldier fly larvae, to produce protein for human consumption, livestock feed, or pet food that is less resource- and emissions-intensive than meat or other high-emission foods. Insect farming as a climate solution is technically feasible, but there are limited real-world studies, and the emissions vary widely depending on location, heat and energy source, and processing. Currently, half of farmed insects end up in the pet food market, and only a few percent of total production goes to direct human consumption. In practice, it mostly replaces already low-impact plant ingredients, not high-emission animal products. Moreover, any potential climate benefits from insect farming can typically be achieved far more effectively and safely through simple shifts toward plant-rich diets. Aside from a lack of evidence of consumer acceptance, there are significant risks that invasive species could escape into local ecosystems, especially if farmed at scale. We conclude that farming insects is “Not Recommended” as an effective climate solution.
Based on our analysis, evidence suggests that insect farming offers minimal opportunities for emission reductions and more often replaces lower-emitting foods, while also facing high costs, low consumer acceptance, and several significant risks even at small industrial scales. For these reasons, insect farming is “Not Recommended” as a climate solution.
| Plausible | Could it work? | Yes |
|---|---|---|
| Ready | Is it ready? | Yes |
| Evidence | Are there data to evaluate it? | Limited |
| Effective | Does it consistently work? | No |
| Impact | Is it big enough to matter? | No |
| Risk | Is it risky or harmful? | Yes |
| Cost | Is it cheap? | No |
This potential climate solution involves industrially farming insects, such as crickets, mealworms, and black soldier fly larvae, in controlled facilities to produce protein with lower resource use and lower climate impact for human consumption, livestock feed, or pet food. Currently, 2 billion people worldwide have a practice of eating insects for food, but industrial insect farming is a relatively new effort, even though 1 trillion insects are estimated to be farmed each year, with roughly 79–84 billion insects alive on farms at any given time globally. Most farmed insects are processed into powders, flours, and oils for snack foods, pet food, or animal feed. This solution does not include industrial insect farming for the production of honey, shellac, silk, or the use of insect waste as fertilizer.
Insects convert feed efficiently, grow quickly, can eat food waste, and require far less land than livestock, especially cattle, creating possible pathways for low-resource protein. However, recent analyses show highly variable and often high life cycle emissions, 4.2–25.8 kg CO₂‑eq /kg protein for insects as human food, with the upper end of this range approaching the lower bound for beef. The emissions intensity of insect-based livestock feeds varies from 2.8–11 kg CO₂‑eq /kg dry matter and is higher than for soybean meal (1.06–2.26 kg CO₂‑eq /kg dry matter). Insect proteins for pet food are 2–10 times more emissions-intensive than conventional pet foods that often use meat-industry by-products. Industrial farms in colder, fossil fuel–dependent regions show especially high footprints, with one United Kingdom industrial life cycle assessment (LCA) reporting emissions nearly 10 times those of a medium-sized farm in Thailand.
Insect farming has advantages over some widely produced foods, especially beef and pork, most notably that it requires far less land and feed. On average, insects require about 2 kg of feed to produce 1 kg of body mass, which is approximately 3–5 times more efficient than cattle and comparable to chickens. Many edible insects are also high in protein and provide micronutrients such as iron, zinc, and B vitamins. There is active research focused on reducing energy needs, breeding native species, and exploring the use of mixed human food waste as feed to better position insects as a potential climate solution.
Overall, insect farming today has limited climate benefits, poor substitution of high-impact foods, significant local ecosystem risks, low consumer uptake, and high costs.
Most LCAs for insect farming are based on small-scale operations rather than industrial scales. Furthermore, common assumptions in insect farming research do not align with current industry practices, including overstated use of food waste as feed and reliance on outdated climate and price projections. While insect farming could plausibly displace some high-impact foods in the future, there is no current pathway for insects to replace pig and cattle products, a prerequisite for meaningful GHG emission reductions. Substituting insects for already low-impact foods such as flour or cereal ingredients, as is currently common, increases emissions. In addition, available insect products have limited sensory or textural similarities to meat compared with plant-based alternatives. Despite more than US$1 billion invested in scaling the sector, consumer acceptance remains low, with only 5% of production going to direct human consumption and 50% to the pet food market.
Industrial insect farming also carries serious risks. Research indicates that escapes of nonnative species disrupting local ecosystems are inevitable and will intensify as operations scale, potentially affecting other food production systems. Crowded, warm rearing environments can also act as disease-spreading vectors, even if insect farming’s direct zoonotic risk to humans is likely lower than that of intensive meat production. Over 80% of small insect farms supplying pet food have been found to contain parasites, with roughly a third carrying species capable of infecting humans or animals. Contamination risks persist when using mixed human food waste as insect feed due to potential pathogens and chemical residues, which regulatory frameworks are still working to assess.
Lastly, costs are a major barrier. The most comprehensive economic model to date finds that insects are unlikely to become a viable part of industrial animal feed in the near future. Insects are also not expected to reach price parity with meat before plant-based or even single-cell/fermentation-derived proteins. Claims of future cost competitiveness rely on assumptions of near-total utilization of food waste.
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Biteau, C., Bry-Chevalier, T., Crummett, D., Ryba, R., & St. Jules, M. (2025a). Bugs in the system: The logic of insect farming research is flawed by unfounded assumptions. npj Sustainable Agriculture, 3(1), 9. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1038/s44264-024-00042-0
Biteau, C., Bry‐Chevalier, T., Crummett, D., Loewy, K., Ryba, R., & St. Jules, M. (2025b). Have the environmental benefits of insect farming been overstated? A critical review. Biological Reviews. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1111/brv.70076
Biteau, C., Bry-Chevalier, T., Crummett, D., Ryba, R., & St. Jules, M. (2024). Is turning food waste into insect feed an uphill climb? A review of persistent challenges. Sustainable Production and Consumption, 49, 492-501. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spc.2024.06.031
Bosch, G., & Swanson, K. S. (2021). Effect of using insects as feed on animals: pet dogs and cats. Journal of Insects as Food and Feed, 7(5), 795-806. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.3920/JIFF2020.0084
Faes, N. (2022). AgriTech: Insects as feed. Bryan, Garnier & Co.
Ffoulkes, C., Illman, H., O’Connor, R., Lemon, F., Behrendt, K., Wynn, S., Wright, P., Godber, O., Ramsden, M., Adams, J. & Metcalfe, P. (2021). Development of a roadmap to scale up insect protein production in the UK for use in animal feed. WWF & ADAS. Link to source: https://www.wwf.org.uk/sites/default/files/2021-06/the_future_of_feed_technical_report.pdf
Guiné, R. P., Correia, P., Coelho, C., & Costa, C. A. (2021). The role of edible insects to mitigate challenges for sustainability. Open Agriculture, 6(1), 24-36. Link to source: https://www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi/10.1515/opag-2020-0206/html?lang=en&srsltid=AfmBOooE_SOQUs-NtWG_pv1Xx7uwZeR-Aobg04eNkxVymX7Of1FcaT0I
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Replacing fossil-fuel-powered irrigation pumps with electric pumps powered by the grid can reduce emissions in most regions of the world. Electric irrigation pumps, which can also be powered by on-site clean energy, are more efficient than fossil fuel pumps. They are already cost-competitive and widely used, and adoption is increasing. Their emissions benefits will continue to grow as irrigation expands and the emissions intensity of the electrical grid falls. However, based on current grid emissions intensity, the climate impact of using electric pumps for agricultural irrigation is not globally meaningful (<0.1 Gt CO₂‑eq/yr ). Despite its modest climate impact, our assessment finds that deploying electric irrigation pumps is “Worthwhile.”
Based on our analysis, deploying electric irrigation pumps will reduce emissions but will not provide a globally significant climate impact (>0.1 Gt CO₂‑eq/yr ), even under high adoption scenarios, until electrical grid emissions decline further. Therefore, this potential climate solution is “Worthwhile.”
| Plausible | Could it work? | Yes |
|---|---|---|
| Ready | Is it ready? | Yes |
| Evidence | Are there data to evaluate it? | Yes |
| Effective | Does it consistently work? | Yes |
| Impact | Is it big enough to matter? | No |
| Risk | Is it risky or harmful? | No |
| Cost | Is it cheap? | Yes |
This solution reduces emissions from irrigation by replacing pumps powered by natural gas, diesel, propane, or gasoline with electric pumps. Irrigation is the practice of adding water to croplands or pastures to reduce crop water stress and increase productivity. Pumps are used on some irrigated croplands to extract groundwater, transport surface water, and pressurize water for application through sprinklers or drip irrigation systems. Electric pumps have much higher motor efficiencies (~88%) than fossil fuel pumps (~21–31%), so pump switching reduces the energy required to pump the same amount of water. The extent to which emissions are reduced depends on the emissions intensity of the electrical grid mix. Electric pumps reduce emissions when the emissions intensity of the grid is below ~0.75 kg CO₂‑eq /kWh, or when they are powered by on-site solar or wind energy. In some places, additional emissions reductions can be achieved through Improving Irrigation Water Use Efficiency.
The efficiency and emissions benefits of electric pumps over fossil fuel pumps are well established. On-farm pumping emissions, currently estimated at approximately 0.2 Gt CO₂‑eq/yr, could feasibly be eliminated if all fossil fuel pumps are replaced with electric pumps and electrical grid emissions reach net-zero, or if they are powered by on-farm solar or wind energy. However, the climate impact of electric pump adoption today would be much lower, as electricity generation still produces substantial emissions. Under current conditions, replacing a diesel pump with an electric pump will reduce emissions in most, but not all, places around the world.
Electric pumps can reliably reduce emissions, are already cost-competitive and widely used, and adoption is increasing. Irrigation is a major energy user, and its energy use is increasing as irrigated areas expand. These trends are expected to continue in the coming decades as climate change exacerbates heat and water stress and agricultural production intensifies in low- and middle-income countries. Coupled with ongoing reductions in electrical grid emissions intensity, the potential climate benefits of this solution are growing.
Electric pump adoption can also be geographically targeted, as just five countries (China, India, the United States, Pakistan, and Iran) account for almost 70% of irrigation energy use. Areas with high groundwater reliance can also be targeted, as groundwater pumping accounts for 89% of irrigation energy use.
Pump switching also provides additional benefits, such as lowering long-term energy costs for farmers and reducing air pollution from on-farm fossil fuel use. Access to the electrical grid is the primary technical barrier to electric pump adoption, but small-scale solar installations can be used where grid connectivity is limited. Powering pumps with on-site solar also eliminates operational emissions, reduces the load on the electrical grid, and insulates farmers from variability in energy costs.
The climate impacts of pump switching are highly dependent on the emissions factor of the electrical grid. A large share of the potential reduction in fossil fuel pumping is located in India and China, which currently have relatively high electrical grid emissions intensities. Under the current grid mix, we estimate that pump switching in these countries will result in only modest benefits or a small increase in emissions.
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Avery Driscoll, Ph.D.
Christina Swanson, Ph.D.
Heather McDiarmid, Ph.D.
James Gerber, Ph.D.
Improving aquaculture involves reducing CO₂ and other GHG emissions during the production of farmed fish and other aquatic animals through better feed efficiency and the decarbonization of on-farm energy use. Advantages include reduced demand for feedstocks produced from both wild capture fisheries and terrestrial sources, which benefits marine and terrestrial ecosystems. Disadvantages include the costs of transitioning to fossil-free energy sources. While these interventions are unlikely to lead to globally meaningful emissions reductions (>0.1 Gt CO₂‑eq/yr ), we consider Improve Aquaculture as “Worthwhile” given the rapid and ongoing expansion of the industry, its potential to replace higher-emission protein sources, and the ecosystem benefits of reducing feedstock demand.
While Improve Aquaculture is unlikely to have a major climate impact, our assessment concludes that it is “Worthwhile” due to its ability to reduce pressure on wild fish stocks and terrestrial biomass, and because efficiency improvements made now are likely to scale into greater climate impact as the sector continues to expand.
| Plausible | Could it work? | Yes |
|---|---|---|
| Ready | Is it ready? | Yes |
| Evidence | Are there data to evaluate it? | Yes |
| Effective | Does it consistently work? | Yes |
| Impact | Is it big enough to matter? | No |
| Risk | Is it risky or harmful? | No |
| Cost | Is it cheap? | ? |
GHG emissions from aquaculture can be reduced by increasing the feed conversion efficiency of the cultured animals and decarbonizing on-farm energy use. Aquaculture – farming aquatic animals or plants for food or other purposes – is rapidly growing and now accounts for over half of the global production of aquatic animals, exceeding wild capture fisheries. Over 7% of human-consumed protein is aquaculture-produced. As this sector has grown, it has become increasingly reliant on external feed sources, with the share of non-fed aquaculture (e.g., bivalves that feed from the water column) dropping from nearly 40% in 2000 to 27% in 2022. Improving feed conversion ratios (FCR) – the amount of feed it takes to produce a given amount of biomass – can lower feed demand and reduce CO₂ and other GHG emissions tied to feed production and transport. FCRs can be improved by feed formulations that increase digestibility, genetic or breeding modifications to improve digestive efficiency in the cultured animal, species-specific feed formulations, and optimizing ration size and feeding frequency. At the same time, decarbonizing on-farm energy use can help reduce CO₂ emissions from common equipment, such as aerators and water pumps.
Interventions to improve feed and energy efficiency can reduce CO₂ emissions from aquaculture operations, although the potential achievable climate impact of these actions is currently unlikely to be globally meaningful (>0.1 Gt CO₂‑eq/yr ). Total annual emissions from aquaculture were estimated to be 0.26 Gt CO₂‑eq/yr in 2017, with nearly 60% of that attributed to feed production. Improving FCR is both plausible and effective, since it directly reduces the amount of food needed to cultivate fish and other species, thereby lowering emissions tied to feed production and transport. Between 1995 and 2007, improvements in FCR have ranged between 5 to 15% for a variety of species, including shrimp, salmon, carp, and tilapia.
Decarbonizing on-farm energy use can reduce equipment-related emissions, particularly in intensive systems that use energy for automated feeding systems, water temperature control, and circulation and aeration systems. In general, the potential impact of decarbonizing varies widely because on-farm energy use differs significantly across species and production systems. For instance, shrimp and prawn farming use nearly 20,000 MJ/t of live weight (LW), with over 75% from electricity, while bivalve production uses around 3,000 MJ/t of LW supplied largely by diesel.
Improving feed efficiency in aquaculture reduces demand for captured wild fish used in feed, reducing pressure on overfished stocks. It also lowers reliance on terrestrial biomass, such as soy, wheat, and rice, which come with additional land-use and emission costs. More efficient feeding can help reduce nutrient pollution, which can be responsible for high methane and nitrous oxide fluxes in some inland aquaculture systems. At the same time, decarbonizing on-farm energy use might ultimately lead to lower long-term operating costs and improved energy reliability.
There are relatively few drawbacks associated with improving aquaculture. In the case of decarbonizing on-farm energy use, upfront costs could be high. For instance, installing solar panels or upgrading pumps can be financially challenging for small-scale operations. Energy use on farms can also vary throughout the day and night, which might not always align with renewable energy sources, like solar, without storage. While this solution focuses on reducing GHG emissions from existing aquaculture practices, it is important to recognize that aquaculture can be environmentally harmful and that impacts vary widely depending on how it is done, where it occurs, and which species are being cultivated.
Badiola, M., Basurko, O. C., Piedrahita, R., Hundley, P., & Mendiola, D. (2018). Energy use in recirculating aquaculture systems (RAS): a review. Aquacultural Engineering, 81, 57-70. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aquaeng.2018.03.003
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Vertical farms are facilities that grow crops indoors, vertically stacking multiple layers of plants and providing controlled conditions using artificial light, indoor heating and cooling systems, humidity controls, water pumps, and advanced automation systems. In theory, vertical farms could reduce the need to clear more agricultural land and the distance food travels to market. However, because vertical farms are so energy and material intensive, and food transportation emissions are a small fraction of the overall carbon footprint of food, vertical farms do not reduce emissions overall. We conclude that vertical farms are “Not Recommended” as an effective climate solution.
Based on our analysis, vertical farms are not an effective climate solution. The tremendous energy use and embodied emissions of vertical farm operations outweigh any potential savings of reducing food miles or land expansion. Moreover, the ability of vertical farms to truly scale to be a meaningful part of the global food system is extremely limited. We therefore classify this as “Not Recommended” as an effective climate solution.
| Plausible | Could it work? | No |
|---|---|---|
| Ready | Is it ready? | Yes |
| Evidence | Are there data to evaluate it? | Yes |
| Effective | Does it consistently work? | No |
| Impact | Is it big enough to matter? | No |
| Risk | Is it risky or harmful? | No |
| Cost | Is it cheap? | No |
Vertical farms are facilities that grow crops indoors, with multiple layers of plants stacked on top of each other, using artificial lights, large heating and cooling systems, humidity controls, water pumps, and complex building automation systems. In principle, vertical farms can dramatically shrink the land “footprint” of agriculture, and this could help reduce the need for agricultural land. Moreover, by growing crops closer to urban centers, vertical farms could potentially reduce “food miles” and the emissions related to food transport.
The technology of growing some kinds of crops – especially greens and herbs – in indoor facilities is well developed, but there is no evidence to show that doing so can reduce GHG emissions compared to growing the same food on traditional farms. Theoretically, vertical farms could reduce emissions associated with agricultural land expansion and food transportation. However, the operation and construction of vertical farms require enormous amounts of energy and materials, all of which cause significant emissions. Vertical farms require artificial lighting (even with efficient LEDs, this is a considerable energy cost), heating, cooling, humidity control, air circulation, and water pumping – all of which require energy. Vertical farms could be powered by renewable sources; however, this is an inefficient method for reducing GHG emissions compared to using that renewable energy to replace fossil-fuel-powered electricity generation. Growing food closer to urban centers also does not meaningfully reduce emissions because emissions from “food miles” are only a small fraction of the life cycle emissions for most farmed foods. Recent research has found that the carbon footprint of lettuce grown in vertical farms can be 5.6 to 16.7 times greater than that of lettuce grown with traditional methods.
While vertical farms are not an effective strategy for reducing emissions, they may have some value for climate resilience and adaptation. Vertical farms offer a protected environment for crop growth and well-managed water use, and they can potentially shield plants from pests, diseases, and natural disasters. Moreover, the controlled environment can be adjusted to adapt to changing climate conditions, helping ensure continuous production and lowering the risks of crop loss.
Vertical farms use enormous amounts of energy and material to grow a limited array of food, all at significant cost. That energy and material have a significant carbon emissions cost, no matter how efficient the technology becomes. On the whole, vertical farms appear to emit far more GHGs than traditional farms do. Moreover, vertical farms are expensive to build and operate, and are unlikely to play a major role in the world’s food system. At present, they are mainly used to grow high-priced greens, vegetables, herbs, and cannabis, which do not address the tremendous pressure points in the global food system to feed the world sustainably. There are also concerns about the future of the vertical farming business. While early efforts were funded by venture capital, vertical farming has struggled to become profitable, putting its future in doubt.
Blom, T. et al.., (2022). The embodied carbon emissions of lettuce production in vertical farming, greenhouse horticulture, and open-field farming in the Netherlands. Journal of Cleaner Production, 377, 134443. Link to source: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095965262204015X
Cornell Chronicle, (2014). Indoor urban farms called wasteful, “pie in the sky.” Link to source: https://news.cornell.edu/stories/2014/02/indoor-urban-farms-called-wasteful-pie-sky
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Cox, S., (2016). Enough with the vertical farming fantasies: There are still too many unanswered questions about the trendy practice, Salon. Link to source: https://www.salon.com/2016/02/17/enough_with_the_vertical_farming_partner/
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Cultivated meat is produced from a sample of animal cells, rather than by slaughtering animals. This technology shows promise for reducing emissions from animal agriculture, but its climate impact depends on the energy source used during production. Research and development are still in early stages, and whether the products can scale depends on continued investments, consumer approval, technological growth, and regulatory acceptance. While cultivated meat shows potential, evidence about its emissions reduction potential is limited, and the high costs of production may restrain its scalability. Based on our assessment, we will “Keep Watching” this potential solution.
Based on our analysis, cultivated meat is promising in its ability to reduce emissions from meat production, but the impact on a large scale remains unclear. Based on our assessment, we will “Keep Watching” this potential solution.
| Plausible | Could it work? | Yes |
|---|---|---|
| Ready | Is it ready? | Yes |
| Evidence | Are there data to evaluate it? | Limited |
| Effective | Does it consistently work? | Yes |
| Impact | Is it big enough to matter? | ? |
| Risk | Is it risky or harmful? | No |
| Cost | Is it cheap? | No |
Cultivated meat (also called lab-grown or cultured meat) is a cellular agriculture product that, when used to replace meat from livestock, can reduce emissions. Cultivated meat is developed through bioengineering. Its production uses sample cells from an animal, in addition to a medium that supports cell growth in a bioreactor. Energy is required to produce the ingredients for the growth medium and to run the bioreactor (e.g., for temperature control, the mixing processes, aeration).
Since the development of cultivated meat is still in its infancy, there is limited evidence on its emissions savings potential from large-scale production. Preliminary estimates differ by an order of magnitude, depending on the energy source used in the lab environment. Using fossil energy sources, emissions generated from the production of 1 kg of cultivated meat could reach 25 kg CO₂‑eq. If renewable energy is used, emissions could be about 2 kg CO₂‑eq/kg of cultivated meat. By comparison, producing a kilogram of beef from livestock generates 80–100 kilograms CO₂‑eq, on average. Almost half of those emissions from livestock beef are in the form of methane. Producing pig meat and poultry meat generates about 12 kg and 10 kg CO₂‑eq, respectively. Based on these estimates, cultivated meat could substantially reduce the emissions of beef. Compared to pork and chicken, however, its emissions depend on the source of energy used during production.
The cultivated meat industry is fairly new but growing rapidly. The first cell-cultivated meat product was developed in 2013. In 2024, there were 155 companies involved in the industry, located across six continents, mostly based in the United States, Israel, the United Kingdom, and Singapore. Agriculture is responsible for about 22% of global GHG emissions, and raising livestock, especially beef, is particularly emissions-intensive. Therefore, cultivated meat has great potential to reduce related emissions as demand for meat continues to grow across the world. Cultivated meat enables the production of a large amount of meat from a single stem cell. This means that far fewer animals will be needed for meat production. Cultivated meat is also more efficient at converting feed into meat than chickens, which reduces emissions associated with feed production and demand for land.
Concerns about cultivated meat include scalability, cost, and consumer acceptance. Because cultivated meat is still an emerging area of food science, the cost of production may be prohibitive at a large scale. Although cell culture is routinely performed in industrial and academic labs, creating the culture medium for mass-market production at competitive prices will require innovations and significant cost reductions. There are still many unknowns about the commercial potential of cultivated meat and whether consumers will accept the products. In 2024, companies began to move from research labs to larger facilities to start producing meat for consumers. Several countries now allow the sale of cultivated meat. In the United States, about one-third of adults find the concept of cultivated meat appealing, and only about 17% would be likely to purchase it, according to a poll conducted on behalf of the Good Food Institute. However, even substituting a fraction of the beef consumed in the United States with cultivated meat could have an important impact on reducing emissions. Cultivated meat is a novel food and may require consumer education and producer transparency on production methods and safeguards in order to become more widely accepted.
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Good Food Institute (2025). 2024 State of the Industry report: Cultivated meat, seafood, and ingredients. Link to source: https://gfi.org/resource/cultivated-meat-seafood-and-ingredients-state-of-the-industry/
Good Food Institute (2024). Consumer snapshot: Cultivated meat in the U.S. Link to source: https://gfi.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Consumer-snapshot-cultivated-meat-in-the-US.pdf
Good Food Institute (2020). An analysis of culture medium costs and production volumes for cultivated meat. Link to source: https://gfi.org/resource/analyzing-cell-culture-medium-costs/
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Ruminant livestock, such as cattle, goats, and sheep, can be selectively bred for reduced enteric methane production. Some experimental breeding programs have reduced methane production by 4-45% over multiple generations of animals. An advantage of improved ruminant breeding is that it could reduce methane emissions from the majority of ruminants that are managed on pasture or rangelands. However, intentionally breeding ruminants for reduced methane production is in its early stages, and deploying this solution across multiple species and breeds will take decades. Furthermore, reducing enteric methane emissions per kilogram of milk or meat may not necessarily reduce total emissions if ruminant numbers increase, or if it diverts efforts to reduce consumption and waste of ruminant meat and milk products in wealthy countries. As a climate solution, improved ruminant breeding is not yet ready for large-scale deployment, and it will not yield quick results, but it is probably a wise mid- to long-term climate investment that we will “Keep Watching.”
Based on our analysis, improved ruminant breeding is one of the few promising solutions for reducing enteric methane production from the many millions of ruminants, including those managed on pasture and rangeland. However, it is not a climate solution that will yield quick results, nor is it ready for large-scale deployment at this time. Instead, it should be considered a wise mid- to long-term climate investment that we will “Keep Watching.”
| Plausible | Could it work? | Yes |
|---|---|---|
| Ready | Is it ready? | No |
| Evidence | Are there data to evaluate it? | Limited |
| Effective | Does it consistently work? | No |
| Impact | Is it big enough to matter? | Yes |
| Risk | Is it risky or harmful? | No |
| Cost | Is it cheap? | No |
Selective breeding can produce ruminant livestock, such as cattle, goats, and sheep, that produce less enteric methane during digestion. Enteric methane represents 21% of humanity’s methane emissions, equivalent to 2.9 Gt CO₂‑eq/yr. Enteric methane is produced by microbes in the digestive system – primarily in the rumen, which is the first stomach compartment – and not by ruminants themselves, but its production is a symptom of inefficient digestion by the animal. Therefore, breeding for more efficient use of food by ruminants can reduce enteric methane emissions, while also potentially increasing meat and milk production.
Selective breeding of ruminants for reduced enteric methane production has been shown to be effective. One 10-year pilot breeding program resulted in a 12% methane reduction in animals born in the last generation. Other studies have reported emissions reductions ranging from 4 to 45 percent. The effect can be cumulative, with greater reductions in enteric methane production with every selected generation of ruminants.
Despite their disproportionate climate impact, ruminant meat and dairy products are in high demand. Any strategy that can reduce methane emissions per kilogram of meat or milk could, if broadly adopted, yield globally meaningful reductions in methane emissions (>0.1 Gt CO₂‑eq per year). A major advantage of this selective breeding approach is that it is suitable for both confined and grazing ruminants. The vast majority of ruminant animals spend all or part of their lives on pasture or rangeland. In contrast, feed additives, which can also reduce enteric methane production, are only suitable for confined animals. In addition, there is some evidence that this solution could increase the meat and milk productivity of ruminants by capturing energy from feed and forages that would otherwise have been lost as enteric methane.
Breeding ruminants to reduce enteric methane production is not a climate solution that will show quick results. It will require prolonged testing using expensive measurement equipment on thousands of animals and selective breeding for each breed of each ruminant livestock species over many generations. Some researchers say that decade-long breeding programs will be required. Other than a few research projects, however, the current adoption of selective breeding for methane reduction is very low. Furthermore, selective breeding focused only on methane reduction could result in the loss of other desirable traits, such as productivity or adaptation to local conditions and farming systems. It is also possible that reducing enteric methane emissions per kilogram of milk or meat may not necessarily reduce total emissions if, for example, farmers or ranchers increase their herd sizes. Finally, there is the concern that improved ruminant breeding could be used as a smokescreen to divert attention from the importance of reducing consumption of ruminant meat and milk products in the diets of wealthy countries and reducing food waste of ruminant products.
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Feed additives can reduce enteric methane production in ruminant livestock, such as cattle, goats, and sheep. Most feed additive compounds are still being researched to determine their efficacy and safety; however, at least one product, 3-NOP (3-nitrooxypropanol), has been shown to be effective, has recently been approved for use in many countries, and has experienced some early adoption. However, because of cost and the need to be administered daily, the use of feed additives is currently limited to confined ruminants in high-income countries and is not feasible for the majority of global ruminant livestock. Based on these limitations and current levels of adoption, we will “Keep Watching” this potential solution.
Based on our analysis, feed additives are a promising technology that could yield globally meaningful reductions in methane emissions. A few, including 3-NOP, are just on the threshold of commercial adoption and may be widely used by confined ruminant producers in the coming years. The current use of feed additives is low, and the effectiveness of most feed additive compounds is not well-documented. Consequently, wide-scale adoption is largely confined to confined livestock in high-income countries. Based on our assessment, we will “Keep Watching” this potential solution.
| Plausible | Could it work? | Yes |
|---|---|---|
| Ready | Is it ready? | No |
| Evidence | Are there data to evaluate it? | Yes |
| Effective | Does it consistently work? | Yes |
| Impact | Is it big enough to matter? | Yes |
| Risk | Is it risky or harmful? | No |
| Cost | Is it cheap? | Yes |
Feed additives are a diverse group of natural and synthetic compounds that, when fed daily, can reduce enteric methane production in ruminant livestock, including cattle, sheep, and goats. Enteric methane from livestock is the source of 21% of humanity’s methane emissions, or 2.9 Gt CO₂‑eq/yr. Feed additives reduce enteric methane production by suppressing the activity of microbes in the digestive system. 3-NOP (3-nitrooxypropanol) is a synthetic that inhibits an enzyme involved in enteric methane production.
More than 170 different feed additives have been developed and tested so far, but only a few of them have been studied enough to offer predictable outcomes and proper doses. Methane reductions from these well-studied additives typically range from 10-30%. The feed additive 3-NOP, the first compound approved for commercial use, reduces enteric methane by an average of 32.5%. A second feed additive derived from active compounds found in Asparagopsis seaweed has shown promising results in some studies and has recently received regulatory approval in two countries. In addition, because different feed additives use different mechanisms to suppress enteric methane production, it’s possible that multiple additives can be used together to achieve greater methane reductions. The great majority of other additives are not yet ready for widespread adoption due to a lack of understanding of effectiveness, side effects on cattle and humans who consume milk from treated cattle, and other concerns.
Ruminants are a major source of methane emissions, yet ruminant meat and dairy products are in high demand. Therefore, any strategy that can reduce methane emissions per kilogram of meat or milk is potentially very valuable and, if broadly adopted, could yield globally meaningful reductions in methane emissions (>0.1 Gt CO₂‑eq per year). The feed additive 3-NOP, first approved for commercial use in two countries in 2021, is now legal in 55 countries. Research on other feed additives is active and generally well-supported with funding from philanthropic and investment sources. Although current use of feed additives is very low, successful research and pilot studies, increasing regulatory approvals, and strong positive interest from the livestock industry suggest that wider-scale adoption of this emissions reduction technology could occur quickly. In addition to potential emissions reduction benefits, some additives offer other benefits such as increased productivity and parasite control.
Because they must be fed daily as a supplement to a concentrated feed, use of feed additives is limited to ruminants managed under confined conditions. Most of the billions of ruminant animals today are raised or managed in extensive grazing or pastoralist systems, often in small herds in remote areas. This makes use of feed additives infeasible, although some research is underway to develop methane-reducing compounds that could be added to water troughs instead of to feed. Feed additives are also costly. Though they may be cost-effective in terms of dollars per ton of CO₂‑eq reduced, the cost of additives themselves would likely be prohibitive for smallholders and pastoralists in low-income countries. These limitations mean that feed additives, as currently under development, are only suitable for a subset of total ruminant livestock – those that are raised in confinement systems in wealthy countries. The great majority of feed additives are not yet ready for widespread adoption due to a lack of understanding of effectiveness, side effects on cattle and humans who consume milk from treated cattle, and other concerns. There are also other challenges, including regulatory issues, public acceptance, and effects on livestock and human health. There is also concern that feed additives could be used to divert attention from the importance of reducing ruminant meat and milk products in the diets of wealthy countries and reducing food waste of ruminant products.
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Nabuurs, G-J., R. Mrabet, A. Abu Hatab, M. Bustamante, H. Clark, P. Havlík, J. House, C. Mbow, K.N. Ninan, A. Popp, S. Roe, B. Sohngen, S. Towprayoon, 2022: Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Uses (AFOLU). In IPCC, 2022: Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, R. Slade, A. Al Khourdajie, R. van Diemen, D. McCollum, M. Pathak, S. Some, P. Vyas, R. Fradera, M. Belkacemi, A. Hasija, G. Lisboa, S. Luz, J. Malley, (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157926.009
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Roques, S., Martinez-Fernandez, G., Ramayo-Caldas, Y., Popova, M., Denman, S., Meale, S. J., & Morgavi, D. P. (2024). Recent advances in enteric methane mitigation and the long road to sustainable ruminant production. Annual Review of Animal Biosciences, 12(1), 321-343. Link to source: https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-animal-021022-024931
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